Danielle Collins vs Daria KasatkinaSan Jose Final

San Jose · WTA · Final
#701WTA
1844ELO
1772Hard ELO
32 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 August 2021
hard
#63WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Collins D.
6-3 6-7 6-1
Kasatkina D.
Collins D.
661062
Kasatkina D.
371211

Danielle Collins defeated Daria Kasatkina 6-3 6-7 6-1 in the San Jose final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in ranked #63, leading the head-to-head 2–1, but Danielle Collins had arrived on a 7-match winning run. Danielle Collins narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Danielle Collins came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–3 6–7 6–1.

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-01CharlestonFclayDanielle Collins6-2 6-1
2021-02-13Phillip Island TrophySFhardDaria Kasatkina6-2 6-7(6) 6-1
2018-05-14RomeR32clayDaria Kasatkina6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Collins D.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Collins D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Collins D.Kasatkina D.
Serve
0
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
56%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
41%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
54%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.7
1.4
Double faults / match·Even
4.9
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
78
Break points saved·Clear edge
95
80
Break points won·Even
99
100
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
5.1+15 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1757
5.4Overall Elo 1844
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1795
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.9
Surface form
9.1
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.7
Minutes 14d
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Kasatkina D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast