Daria Kasatkina vs Anna KalinskayaAdelaide Round of 16

Adelaide · WTA · Round of 16
#65WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 January 2024
hard
#20WTA
1907ELO
1863Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$7.0MCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWW
Kasatkina D.
5-7 6-4 7-5
Kalinskaya A.
Kasatkina D.
5672
Kalinskaya A.
7451

Daria Kasatkina defeated Anna Kalinskaya 5-7 6-4 7-5 in the Adelaide round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Anna Kalinskaya came in ranked #20. Daria Kasatkina extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-10-17Guadalajara 2R16hardAnna Kalinskaya6-2 2-6 6-3
2022-01-03Melbourne 2R32hardDaria Kasatkina6-1 3-0 RET
2018-07-23MoscowR32hardDaria Kasatkina6-1 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kalinskaya A.

Kalinskaya A.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kasatkina D.Kalinskaya A.
0
Serve
36
95
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Break points saved·Even
53%
57%
Aces / match·Even
1.7
2.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.3
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (120 vs 118). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
88
Break points saved·Slight edge
80
88
Break points won·Even
100
97
Deciding sets·Even
93
89
Tiebreaks·Dominant
47
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1757
Surface ELO
6.1+106 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1907
4.6
H2H
5.4
6.8
Surface form
4.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
8.1
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.5
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
90
87

Kasatkina D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Kalinskaya A.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 62%