Anna Kalinskaya vs Daria KasatkinaGuadalajara 2 Round of 16

Guadalajara 2 · WTA · Round of 16
#20WTA
1907ELO
1863Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$7.0MCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 October 2022
hard
#63WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Kalinskaya A.
6-2 2-6 6-3
Kasatkina D.
Kalinskaya A.
6262
Kasatkina D.
2631

Anna Kalinskaya defeated Daria Kasatkina 6-2 2-6 6-3 in the Guadalajara 2 round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Anna Kalinskaya came in ranked #20. Anna Kalinskaya claimed a first win over Daria Kasatkina in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Anna Kalinskaya closed it out in three sets, 6–2 2–6 6–3.

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-01-08AdelaideR16hardDaria Kasatkina5-7 6-4 7-5
2022-01-03Melbourne 2R32hardDaria Kasatkina6-1 3-0 RET
2018-07-23MoscowR32hardDaria Kasatkina6-1 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Kalinskaya A.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kalinskaya A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kalinskaya A.Kasatkina D.
36
Serve
0
39
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
41%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Break points saved·Even
57%
54%
Aces / match·Even
1.8
1.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.6
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
88
80
Break points won·Even
97
100
Deciding sets·Even
89
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
98
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 63 days (−1.2)
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+106 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1757
6.0Overall Elo 1907
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1795
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.9
Surface form
6.8
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.7
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
89
92

Kalinskaya A.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Kasatkina D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw