

Paula Badosa defeated Daria Kasatkina 6-1 6-1 in the Stuttgart round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in ranked #65, leading the head-to-head 4–2, defending last year's round of 16, but Paula Badosa had been the form player, winning 4 of their last 4 on clay. Paula Badosa narrowed the head-to-head to 4–3.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | R32 | clay | Daria Kasatkina | 6-1 7-5 |
| 2024-10-14 | Ningbo | SF | hard | Daria Kasatkina | 6-4 0-0 RET |
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | R32 | grass | Paula Badosa | 7-6(6) 4-6 6-4 |
| 2022-08-01 | San Jose | SF | hard | Daria Kasatkina | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2022-05-09 | Rome | R16 | clay | Daria Kasatkina | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2022-01-10 | Sydney | SF | hard | Paula Badosa | 6-2 6-2 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (131 vs 184). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Badosa P.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 98 games (7d) · Kasatkina D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About