Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa — Roland Garros Round of 32

Roland Garros · WTA · Round of 32
Daria Kasatkina
AUS17
Daria Kasatkina
#65WTA
1795ELO
1770Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 May 2025
clay
Paula Badosa
ESP10
Paula Badosa
#141WTA
1780ELO
1684Clay ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
Kasatkina D.
6-1 7-5
Badosa P.
Kasatkina D.
672
Badosa P.
150

Daria Kasatkina defeated Paula Badosa 6-1 7-5 in the Roland Garros round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in ranked #65, defending last year's round of 64. Daria Kasatkina extended the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Daria Kasatkina came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–5.

Head to head

3–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-14NingboSFhardDaria Kasatkina6-4 0-0 RET
2024-07-01WimbledonR32grassPaula Badosa7-6(6) 4-6 6-4
2023-04-17StuttgartR32clayPaula Badosa6-1 6-1
2022-08-01San JoseSFhardDaria Kasatkina6-2 6-4
2022-05-09RomeR16clayDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-4
2022-01-10SydneySFhardPaula Badosa6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Badosa P.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Kasatkina D.Badosa P.
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
43%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Break points saved·Even
52%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.7
4.6
Double faults / match·Even
5.7
5.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (55 vs 47). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kasatkina D.Badosa P.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
93
Break points saved·Clear edge
80
95
Break points won·Slight edge
100
94
Deciding sets·Even
93
95
Tiebreaks·Dominant
47
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kasatkina D.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Badosa P.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
6.2+85 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Clay Elo 1684
5.5Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1780
0.0
H2H
10.0
3.4
Surface form
6.4
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
8.1
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.2
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kasatkina D.Badosa P.
Freshness·Dominant
90
58

Kasatkina D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Badosa P.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 98 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw

Final
Gauff C.[4]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-756-26-4
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[1]
Swiatek I.[3]
7-614-66-0
Gauff C.[4]
Boisson L.
6-16-2
Quarter-finals
Gauff C.[4]
Keys M.[19]
6-766-46-1
Swiatek I.[3]
Svitolina E.[7]
6-17-5
Sabalenka A.[1]
Zheng Q.[8]
7-636-3
Boisson L.
Andreeva M.[8]
7-666-3
R16
Andreeva M.[8]
Kasatkina D.[17]
6-37-5
Zheng Q.[8]
Samsonova L.[20]
7-651-66-3
Swiatek I.[3]
Rybakina E.[2]
1-66-37-5
Sabalenka A.[1]
Anisimova A.[6]
7-56-3
Boisson L.
Pegula J.[5]
3-66-46-4
Svitolina E.[7]
Paolini J.[13]
4-67-666-1
Gauff C.[4]
Alexandrova E.[14]
6-07-5
Keys M.[19]
Baptiste H.[26]
6-37-5
R32
Keys M.[19]
Kenin S.[31]
4-66-37-5
Svitolina E.[7]
Pera B.
7-647-65
Gauff C.[4]
Bouzkova M.[27]
6-17-63
Anisimova A.[6]
Tauson C.[21]
7-646-4
Alexandrova E.[14]
Kudermetova V.
6-26-2
Baptiste H.[26]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
7-646-1
Samsonova L.[20]
Yastremska D.
6-26-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Danilovic O.
6-26-3
Kasatkina D.[17]
Badosa P.[10]
6-17-5
Boisson L.
Jacquemot E.
6-30-67-5
Paolini J.[13]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-46-1
Rybakina E.[2]
Ostapenko J.[29]
6-26-2
Pegula J.[5]
Vondrousova M.
3-66-46-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Putintseva Y.[32]
6-36-1
Zheng Q.[8]
Mboko V.[9]
6-36-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Cristian J.
6-27-5
R64
Tauson C.[21]
Rus A.
7-627-5
Bouzkova M.[27]
Kartal S.
6-16-4
Andreeva M.[8]
Krueger A.
6-36-4
Badosa P.[10]
Ruse E.
3-66-46-4
Boisson L.
Kalinina A.
6-16-2
Zheng Q.[8]
Arango E.
6-26-3
Ostapenko J.[29]
Dolehide C.
5-76-36-3
Cristian J.
Bejlek S.
1-66-36-3
Kudermetova V.
Krejcikova B.[15]
6-06-3
Paolini J.[13]
Tomljanovic A.
6-36-3
Jacquemot E.
Parks A.
6-26-746-1
Pera B.
Vekic D.[18]
6-24-67-63
Kasatkina D.[17]
Jeanjean L.
6-46-2
Rybakina E.[2]
Jovic I.[17]
6-36-3
Putintseva Y.[32]
Garland J.
7-656-3
Kenin S.[31]
Azarenka V.
7-656-4
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Montgomery R.
6-44-67-5
Vondrousova M.
Frech M.[25]
6-04-66-3
Danilovic O.
Collins D.
6-43-66-4
Starodubtseva Y.
Potapova A.[28]
7-646-2
Samsonova L.[20]
Romero Gormaz L.
6-36-3
Pegula J.[5]
Li A.[30]
6-37-63
Swiatek I.[3]
Raducanu E.
6-16-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Teichmann J.
6-36-1
Mboko V.[9]
Lys E.
6-46-4
Baptiste H.[26]
Hibino N.
6-36-2
Alexandrova E.[14]
Cocciaretto E.
6-16-3
Yastremska D.
Shnaider D.[25]
7-57-5
Svitolina E.[7]
Bondar A.
7-647-5
Gauff C.[4]
Valentova T.
6-26-4
Keys M.[19]
Boulter K.
6-16-3
Anisimova A.[6]
Golubic V.
6-06-2
R128
Cristian J.
Birrell K.
6-16-0
Kartal S.
Andreeva E.
6-06-2
Frech M.[25]
Jabeur O.
7-646-0
Kudermetova V.
Tomova V.
7-56-1
Krejcikova B.[15]
Maria T.
7-646-3
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Navarro E.[9]
6-06-1
Vondrousova M.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-46-4
Starodubtseva Y.
Korpatsch T.
2-66-16-4
Zheng Q.[8]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-46-3
Arango E.
Eala A.
6-02-66-3
Mboko V.[9]
Sun L.[5]
6-17-64
Yastremska D.
Aiava D.
7-56-1
Anisimova A.[6]
Stojanovic N.
6-34-1
Golubic V.
Kvitova P.
3-66-06-4
Rybakina E.[2]
Riera J.
6-14-66-4
Paolini J.[13]
Yuan Y.[10]
6-14-66-3
Valentova T.
Paquet C.
4-66-37-5
Parks A.
Muchova K.[10]
6-32-66-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Rakhimova K.
6-16-0
Romero Gormaz L.
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
7-636-2
Garland J.
Volynets K.
6-33-66-4
Montgomery R.
Parry D.
6-26-1
Keys M.[19]
Saville D.
6-26-1
Ruse E.
Kessler M.
7-57-63
Potapova A.[28]
Noskova L.[12]
5-76-17-5
Cocciaretto E.
Townsend T.
6-36-2
Lys E.
Stearns P.[28]
6-06-3
Pegula J.[5]
Todoni A.
6-26-4
Samsonova L.[20]
Sherif M.
7-636-2
Krueger A.
Lamens S.[17]
6-36-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Sramkova R.
6-36-3
Gauff C.[4]
Gadecki O.
6-26-2
Boulter K.
Monnet C.
6-746-16-1
Ostapenko J.[29]
Kudermetova P.[16]
5-76-06-2
Azarenka V.
Wickmayer Y.
6-06-0
Collins D.
Burrage J.
7-616-4
Tomljanovic A.
Joint M.
6-16-3
Kalinina A.
Avanesyan E.
6-16-2
Kasatkina D.[17]
Siniakova K.
6-13-66-2
Hibino N.
Uchijima M.
6-17-5
Kenin S.[31]
Gracheva V.
6-36-1
Badosa P.[10]
Osaka N.[16]
6-716-16-4
Bouzkova M.[27]
Kalinskaya A.[22]
6-47-5
Dolehide C.
Minnen G.
3-66-36-4
Raducanu E.
Wang X.
7-54-66-3
Tauson C.[21]
Linette M.
6-44-66-1
Jacquemot E.
Sakkari M.
6-37-64
Jeanjean L.
Begu I.
0-67-53-0
Putintseva Y.[32]
Sierra S.
7-646-2
Pera B.
Garcia C.
6-46-4
Vekic D.[18]
Blinkova A.
7-56-746-1
Rus A.
Osorio C.
4-66-26-4
Teichmann J.
Stefanini L.
6-46-4
Bondar A.
Siegemund L.
7-626-3
Baptiste H.[26]
Haddad Maia B.[23]
4-66-36-1
Li A.[30]
Carle M.
6-46-0
Shnaider D.[25]
Soboleva A.
7-636-2
Jovic I.[17]
Zarazua R.
6-35-76-4
Boisson L.
Mertens E.[23]
6-44-66-3
Alexandrova E.[14]
Bronzetti L.
6-36-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Bucsa C.[31]
6-46-3
Bejlek S.
Kostyuk M.[15]
6-36-1
Svitolina E.[7]
Sonmez Z.
6-16-1
Danilovic O.
Fernandez L.[24]
6-36-1