Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina — Wimbledon Round of 32

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 32
Paula Badosa
ESP
Paula Badosa
#141WTA
1780ELO
1647Grass ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 1 July 2024
grass
Daria Kasatkina
AUS14
Daria Kasatkina
#65WTA
1795ELO
1666Grass ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Badosa P.
7-6 4-6 6-4
Kasatkina D.
Badosa P.
78462
Kasatkina D.
66641

Paula Badosa defeated Daria Kasatkina 7-6 4-6 6-4 in the Wimbledon round of 32 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in ranked #65, leading the head-to-head 4–2, defending last year's round of 32. Paula Badosa narrowed the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

Head to head

2–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR32clayDaria Kasatkina6-1 7-5
2024-10-14NingboSFhardDaria Kasatkina6-4 0-0 RET
2023-04-17StuttgartR32clayPaula Badosa6-1 6-1
2022-08-01San JoseSFhardDaria Kasatkina6-2 6-4
2022-05-09RomeR16clayDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-4
2022-01-10SydneySFhardPaula Badosa6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Badosa P.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Badosa P.Kasatkina D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
42%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
54%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
1.7
Double faults / match·Even
5.6
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (104 vs 120). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Badosa P.Kasatkina D.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
93
78
Break points saved·Clear edge
95
80
Break points won·Slight edge
94
100
Deciding sets·Even
95
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
94
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Badosa P.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Kasatkina D.
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Grass Elo 1647
Surface ELO
6.0+19 Grass Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1780
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1795
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
8.4
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
2.1
7.0
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
6.1
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Badosa P.Kasatkina D.
Freshness·Dominant
64
89

Badosa P.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 74 games (7d) · Kasatkina D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw

Final
Krejcikova B.[31]
Paolini J.[13]
6-22-66-4
Semi-finals
Krejcikova B.[31]
Rybakina E.[2]
3-66-36-4
Paolini J.[13]
Vekic D.[31]
2-66-47-68
Quarter-finals
Vekic D.[31]
Sun L.[9]
5-76-46-1
Rybakina E.[2]
Svitolina E.[8]
6-36-2
Krejcikova B.[31]
Ostapenko J.[13]
6-47-64
Paolini J.[13]
Navarro E.[23]
6-26-1
R16
Paolini J.[13]
Keys M.[26]
6-36-765-5
Rybakina E.[2]
Kalinskaya A.[19]
6-33-0
Sun L.[9]
Raducanu E.[30]
6-25-76-2
Svitolina E.[8]
Wang X.
6-26-1
Vekic D.[31]
Badosa P.
6-21-66-4
Navarro E.[23]
Gauff C.[7]
6-46-3
Krejcikova B.[31]
Collins D.[11]
7-56-3
Ostapenko J.[13]
Putintseva Y.
6-26-3
R32
Collins D.[11]
Haddad Maia B.[20]
6-46-4
Krejcikova B.[31]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-04-3
Putintseva Y.
Swiatek I.[3]
3-66-16-2
Sun L.[9]
Zhu L.[30]
7-647-66
Svitolina E.[8]
Jabeur O.[10]
6-17-64
Keys M.[26]
Kostyuk M.[12]
6-46-3
Rybakina E.[2]
Wozniacki C.
6-06-1
Gauff C.[7]
Kartal S.
6-46-0
Raducanu E.[30]
Sakkari M.[9]
6-26-3
Vekic D.[31]
Yastremska D.[28]
7-646-736-1
Navarro E.[23]
Shnaider D.[15]
2-66-36-4
Ostapenko J.[13]
Pera B.
6-16-3
Paolini J.[13]
Andreescu B.
7-646-1
Wang X.
Dart H.
2-67-56-3
Kalinskaya A.[19]
Samsonova L.[15]
7-646-2
Badosa P.
Kasatkina D.[14]
7-664-66-4
R64
Kartal S.
Burel C.
6-35-76-3
Haddad Maia B.[20]
Osorio C.
3-0
Krejcikova B.[31]
Volynets K.[5]
7-667-65
Sun L.[9]
Starodubtseva Y.
4-66-36-2
Zhu L.[30]
Pavlyuchenkova A.[25]
6-46-3
Sakkari M.[9]
Rus A.
7-56-3
Kasatkina D.[14]
Miyazaki Y.
6-06-0
Collins D.[11]
Galfi D.[10]
6-36-4
Putintseva Y.
Siniakova K.[32]
6-04-66-2
Paolini J.[13]
Minnen G.
7-656-2
Navarro E.[23]
Osaka N.[14]
6-46-1
Gauff C.[7]
Todoni A.
6-26-1
Kalinskaya A.[19]
Bouzkova M.[21]
6-46-1
Svitolina E.[8]
Niemeier J.
6-36-4
Dart H.
Boulter K.[32]
4-66-17-68
Andreescu B.
Noskova L.[9]
6-37-65
Kostyuk M.[12]
Saville D.
4-67-626-4
Wozniacki C.
Fernandez L.[22]
6-32-67-5
Swiatek I.[3]
Martic P.
6-46-3
Jabeur O.[10]
Montgomery R.
6-17-5
Vekic D.[31]
Andreeva E.
6-26-3
Shnaider D.[15]
Stephens S.
6-16-1
Keys M.[26]
Wang Y.
6-26-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Bucsa C.
7-616-3
Rybakina E.[2]
Siegemund L.
6-33-66-3
Badosa P.
Fruhvirtova B.
6-46-2
Pera B.
Garcia C.[23]
3-66-36-4
Ostapenko J.[13]
Snigur D.
6-36-0
Samsonova L.[15]
Avanesyan E.
6-36-3
Wang X.
Pegula J.[4]
6-46-776-1
Yastremska D.[28]
Gracheva V.
3-66-47-65
Raducanu E.[30]
Mertens E.[25]
6-16-2
R128
Siniakova K.[32]
Stakusic M.
6-46-2
Haddad Maia B.[20]
Frech M.
7-56-3
Bucsa C.
Bogdan A.
6-44-67-65
Jabeur O.[10]
Uchijima M.[8]
6-36-1
Galfi D.[10]
Sherif M.[21]
6-16-2
Miyazaki Y.
Korpatsch T.
6-26-1
Minnen G.
Watson H.
7-56-4
Volynets K.[5]
Carle M.
6-27-5
Zhu L.[30]
Begu I.
6-06-4
Sun L.[9]
Zheng Q.[8]
4-66-26-4
Rus A.
Yuan Y.[17]
6-26-3
Kostyuk M.[12]
Sramkova R.[16]
6-36-2
Fernandez L.[22]
Bronzetti L.[20]
6-46-3
Pera B.
Potapova A.[27]
6-746-47-66
Dart H.
Bai Z.
6-46-0
Vekic D.[31]
Wang X.
3-66-36-4
Andreescu B.
Cristian J.
6-46-2
Kartal S.
Cirstea S.[17]
3-66-26-0
Swiatek I.[3]
Kenin S.
6-36-4
Raducanu E.[30]
Zarazua R.
7-606-3
Osaka N.[14]
Parry D.
6-11-66-4
Navarro E.[23]
Wang Q.
6-06-2
Montgomery R.
Gadecki O.
6-46-4
Paolini J.[13]
Sorribes Tormo S.
7-56-3
Shnaider D.[15]
Pliskova K.
4-66-47-5
Kalinskaya A.[19]
Udvardy P.
6-36-2
Rybakina E.[2]
Ruse E.
6-36-1
Mertens E.[25]
Hibino N.
2-66-26-4
Todoni A.
Danilovic O.
7-56-1
Yastremska D.[28]
Podoroska N.
6-17-61
Badosa P.
Muchova K.[10]
6-36-2
Pegula J.[4]
Krueger A.
6-26-0
Siegemund L.
Baindl K.
6-46-1
Niemeier J.
Golubic V.
6-26-1
Starodubtseva Y.
Van Uytvanck A.
6-46-3
Martic P.
Jones F.
3-66-16-2
Garcia C.[23]
Blinkova A.
6-47-5
Snigur D.
Dodin O.
6-46-0
Collins D.[11]
Tauson C.[24]
6-37-64
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Vondrousova M.[6]
6-46-2
Wozniacki C.
Parks A.
6-26-0
Bouzkova M.[21]
Riera J.
6-26-1
Samsonova L.[15]
Masarova R.
6-34-66-2
Svitolina E.[8]
Linette M.
7-56-796-3
Boulter K.[32]
Maria T.
7-667-5
Wang X.
Tomova V.
7-643-66-0
Pavlyuchenkova A.[25]
Townsend T.
7-646-1
Fruhvirtova B.
Andreeva M.[5]
1-66-36-2
Andreeva E.
Bektas E.
7-653-66-3
Noskova L.[9]
Errani S.
7-636-1
Saville D.
Stearns P.
6-46-2
Keys M.[26]
Trevisan M.
6-47-64
Burel C.
Lys E.
6-26-4
Gauff C.[7]
Dolehide C.
6-16-2
Putintseva Y.
Kerber A.
7-56-3
Ostapenko J.[13]
Tomljanovic A.
6-16-2
Krejcikova B.[31]
Kudermetova V.
7-646-717-5
Avanesyan E.
Kalinina A.
6-26-3
Kasatkina D.[14]
Zhang S.
6-36-0
Osorio C.
Davis L.
6-36-1
Gracheva V.
Tsurenko L.
6-36-1
Wang Y.
Schmiedlova A.
6-03-66-4
Stephens S.
Jacquemot E.
6-36-3
Sakkari M.[9]
Kessler M.
6-36-1