Daria Kasatkina vs Paula BadosaRome Round of 16

Rome · WTA · Round of 16
#63WTA
1795ELO
1770Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 May 2022
clay
#115WTA
1780ELO
1684Clay ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
Kasatkina D.
6-4 6-4
Badosa P.
Kasatkina D.
662
Badosa P.
440

Daria Kasatkina defeated Paula Badosa 6-4 6-4 in the Rome round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in ranked #63, defending last year's round of 64. Daria Kasatkina extended the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Daria Kasatkina edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

33
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR32clayDaria Kasatkina6-1 7-5
2024-10-14NingboSFhardDaria Kasatkina6-4 0-0 RET
2024-07-01WimbledonR32grassPaula Badosa7-6(6) 4-6 6-4
2023-04-17StuttgartR32clayPaula Badosa6-1 6-1
2022-08-01San JoseSFhardDaria Kasatkina6-2 6-4
2022-01-10SydneySFhardPaula Badosa6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Badosa P.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
59%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.4
4.3
Double faults / match·Even
4.7
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 183). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
93
Break points saved·Clear edge
80
95
Break points won·Slight edge
100
94
Deciding sets·Even
93
95
Tiebreaks·Dominant
47
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+85 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Clay Elo 1684
5.5Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1780
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
6.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
8.6
0.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
95
68

Kasatkina D.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Badosa P.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw