

Daria Kasatkina defeated Jessica Pegula 6-4 4-6 7-6 in the Charleston semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's semi-final. Daria Kasatkina claimed a first win over Jessica Pegula in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-09 | Doha | R16 | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2023-09-25 | Tokyo | QF | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-1 6-0 |
| 2021-05-10 | Rome | R64 | clay | Jessica Pegula | 7-5 6-3 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (120 vs 151). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Kasatkina D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Pegula J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About