Jessica Pegula vs Daria KasatkinaRome Round of 64

Rome · WTA · Round of 64
#4WTA
2097ELO
1941Clay ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 May 2021
clay
#65WTA
1795ELO
1770Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Pegula J.
7-5 6-3
Kasatkina D.
Pegula J.
762
Kasatkina D.
530

Jessica Pegula defeated Daria Kasatkina 7-5 6-3 in the Rome round of 64 on clay. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-09DohaR16hardJessica Pegula6-3 7-5
2024-04-01CharlestonSFclayDaria Kasatkina6-4 4-6 7-6(5)
2023-09-25TokyoQFhardJessica Pegula6-1 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Pegula J.Kasatkina D.
67
Serve
22
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
41%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Even
58%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.0
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
96
78
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
80
Break points won·Even
99
100
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
90

Pegula J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Kasatkina D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 42%

Draw