Daria Kasatkina vs Ashlyn KruegerAbu Dhabi Round of 16

Abu Dhabi · WTA · Round of 16
#65WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 February 2024
hard
#102WTA
1791ELO
1723Hard ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Kasatkina D.
6-3 7-5
Krueger A.
Kasatkina D.
672
Krueger A.
350

Daria Kasatkina defeated Ashlyn Krueger 6-3 7-5 in the Abu Dhabi round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in ranked #65, defending last year's quarter-final. Daria Kasatkina extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-03Abu DhabiR16hardAshlyn Krueger1-6 7-5 6-4
2024-04-01CharlestonR32clayDaria Kasatkina6-3 0-6 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Krueger A.

Krueger A.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kasatkina D.Krueger A.
0
Serve
37
95
Return
7

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
45%
Service points won·Even
54%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Break points saved·Even
53%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.7
3.8
Double faults / match·Even
5.4
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (120 vs 129). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
78
79
Break points saved·Slight edge
80
87
Break points won·Clear edge
100
85
Deciding sets·Even
93
92
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
47
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+34 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1723
6.1Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1791
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
2.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
89
83

Kasatkina D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Krueger A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 27 km/hHumidity 44%