Ashlyn Krueger vs Daria KasatkinaAbu Dhabi Round of 16

Abu Dhabi · WTA · Round of 16
#102WTA
1791ELO
1723Hard ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 February 2025
hard
#65WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Krueger A.
1-6 7-5 6-4
Kasatkina D.
Krueger A.
1762
Kasatkina D.
6541

Ashlyn Krueger defeated Daria Kasatkina 1-6 7-5 6-4 in the Abu Dhabi round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in ranked #65, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's final. Ashlyn Krueger claimed a first win over Daria Kasatkina in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-01CharlestonR32clayDaria Kasatkina6-3 0-6 6-1
2024-02-05Abu DhabiR16hardDaria Kasatkina6-3 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Krueger A.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Krueger A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Krueger A.Kasatkina D.
37
Serve
0
7
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
42%
Service points won·Even
57%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
48%
Break points saved·Even
55%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.4
1.7
Double faults / match·Even
5.3
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (71 vs 55). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
79
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
80
Break points won·Clear edge
85
100
Deciding sets·Even
92
93
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
66
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1723
Surface ELO
5.9+34 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1791
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1795
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.7
Surface form
6.5
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
5.3
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
83
89

Krueger A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Kasatkina D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°CPartly cloudy
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 39%