Bernarda Pera vs Paula Badosa — Adelaide Round of 32

Adelaide · WTA · Round of 32
Bernarda Pera
USA
Bernarda Pera
#718WTA
1653ELO
1610Hard ELO
31 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 January 2024
hard
Paula Badosa
ESP
Paula Badosa
#141WTA
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
Pera B.
3-6 6-2 6-3
Badosa P.
Pera B.
3662
Badosa P.
6231

Bernarda Pera defeated Paula Badosa 3-6 6-2 6-3 in the Adelaide round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Paula Badosa came in ranked #141.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Pera B.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Badosa P.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Pera B.

Serve advantage — Badosa P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pera B.Badosa P.
—
Serve
21
—
Return
19

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Pera B.Badosa P.
1st serve in·Even
61%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
45%
Service points won·Even
57%
59%
Return points won·Even
42%
44%
Break points saved·Even
58%
60%
Aces / match·Even
4.6
4.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.7
5.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 104). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Pera B.Badosa P.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
56
93
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
95
Break points won·Clear edge
79
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
40
95
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
76
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Pera B.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Badosa P.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 189 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1610
Surface ELO
6.7+138 Hard Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1653
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1780
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
1.7
Surface form
4.6
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.4
Minutes 14d
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Pera B.Badosa P.
Freshness·
—
64

Badosa P.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 74 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw

Final
Ostapenko J.[6]
Kasatkina D.
6-36-2
Semi-finals
Kasatkina D.
Pegula J.[2]
W/O
Ostapenko J.[6]
Alexandrova E.
6-27-63
Quarter-finals
Pegula J.[2]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-717-56-4
Kasatkina D.
Siegemund L.
W/O
Alexandrova E.
Rybakina E.[1]
6-36-3
Ostapenko J.[6]
Kostyuk M.
7-56-3
R16
Kostyuk M.
Townsend T.
6-32-66-4
Ostapenko J.[6]
Garcia C.
6-45-76-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Siniakova K.
2-66-36-2
Pegula J.[2]
Pera B.
4-66-26-3
Rybakina E.[1]
Bucsa C.
6-37-5
Alexandrova E.
Kudermetova V.[8]
6-46-4
Siegemund L.
Bogdan A.
6-47-5
Kasatkina D.
Kalinskaya A.
5-76-47-5
R32
Bucsa C.
Paolini J.
6-36-3
Kalinskaya A.
Krejcikova B.[4]
7-53-67-5
Siegemund L.
Samsonova L.[7]
6-716-46-4
Bogdan A.
Boulter K.
6-36-4
Siniakova K.
Pliskova K.
6-26-1
Pera B.
Badosa P.
3-66-26-3
Garcia C.
Preston T.
6-41-66-3
Ostapenko J.[6]
Cirstea S.
2-66-26-4
Kudermetova V.[8]
Krueger A.
6-27-5
Alexandrova E.
Linette M.
3-67-687-5
Townsend T.
Sasnovich A.
6-37-64
Kostyuk M.
Kalinina A.
7-636-1
Kasatkina D.
Liu C.
6-46-3
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Haddad Maia B.[5]
6-36-4