Paula Badosa vs Ashlyn KruegerDoha Round of 64

Doha · WTA · Round of 64
#141WTA
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 February 2024
hard
#102WTA
1791ELO
1723Hard ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Badosa P.
6-3 4-6 6-4
Krueger A.
Badosa P.
6462
Krueger A.
3641

Paula Badosa defeated Ashlyn Krueger 6-3 4-6 6-4 in the Doha round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ashlyn Krueger came in ranked #102, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Paula Badosa claimed a first win over Ashlyn Krueger in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Paula Badosa closed it out in three sets, 6–3 4–6 6–4.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-06AdelaideR16hardAshlyn Krueger7-6(4) 6-7(4) 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Badosa P.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Krueger A.

Krueger A.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Serve advantage — Badosa P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Badosa P.Krueger A.
21
Serve
37
19
Return
7

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
45%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.7
3.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.6
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (104 vs 129). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
93
79
Break points saved·Slight edge
95
87
Break points won·Slight edge
94
85
Deciding sets·Even
95
92
Tiebreaks·Dominant
94
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+24 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1723
5.5Overall Elo 1780
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1791
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.4
Surface form
4.6
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
7.6
7.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
64
83

Badosa P.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 74 games (7d) · Krueger A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw