Ashlyn Krueger vs Paula Badosa — Adelaide Round of 16

Adelaide · WTA · Round of 16
USA
Ashlyn Krueger
#120WTA
1711ELO
1684Hard ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 January 2025
hard
ESP
Paula Badosa
[5]
#119WTA
1770ELO
1743Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW

Ashlyn Krueger defeated Paula Badosa 7-6 6-7 6-2 in the Adelaide round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Paula Badosa came in ranked #119, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32, but Ashlyn Krueger had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Ashlyn Krueger claimed a first win over Paula Badosa in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Ashlyn Krueger closed it out in three sets, 7–6 6–7 6–2.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Krueger A.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Badosa P.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1684
Surface ELO
5.6+60 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1711
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1770
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.3
Surface form
5.2
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
6.7
Minutes 14d
8.8
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Krueger A.
776462
Badosa P.
647721

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
1.12
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 58%

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-12DohaR64hardPaula Badosa6-3 4-6 6-4

Statistics

Recent form
Krueger A.Badosa P.
67%1st serve in+11%56%
64%1st serve points won+5%69%
46%2nd serve points won+7%39%
58%Service points won+2%56%
41%Return points won+2%43%
57%Break points saved+4%53%
5.6Aces / match+14.6
5Double faults / match+2.37.3

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Keys M.
Pegula J.[1]
6-34-66-1
Semi-finals
Keys M.
Samsonova L.
5-77-53-0
Pegula J.[1]
Putintseva Y.
7-646-3
Quarter-finals
Keys M.
Kasatkina D.[3]
6-16-3
Putintseva Y.
Shnaider D.[6]
7-636-796-4
Pegula J.[1]
Krueger A.
6-42-0
Samsonova L.
Navarro E.[2]
6-46-4
R16
Kasatkina D.[3]
Jones E.
7-56-3
Keys M.
Ostapenko J.[8]
3-66-46-3
Samsonova L.
Bencic B.
7-634-66-4
Shnaider D.[6]
Vondrousova M.
4-61-1
Pegula J.[1]
Sakkari M.
6-46-1
Krueger A.
Badosa P.[5]
7-646-746-2
Putintseva Y.
Jabeur O.
6-26-4
Navarro E.[2]
Alexandrova E.
7-646-4
R32
Krueger A.
Kostyuk M.
4-66-26-2
Sakkari M.
Noskova L.
6-36-3
Bencic B.
Kalinskaya A.[7]
6-21-0
Putintseva Y.
Vekic D.
6-26-3
Vondrousova M.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-46-746-2
Keys M.
Haddad Maia B.
6-26-1
Badosa P.[5]
Stearns P.
6-756-37-5
Jabeur O.
Collins D.[4]
7-666-2
Alexandrova E.
Fernandez L.
6-43-66-2
Jones E.
Wang X.
6-46-0
Kasatkina D.[3]
Gadecki O.
6-26-3
Ostapenko J.[8]
Frech M.
4-66-16-1
Samsonova L.
Bouzkova M.
1-66-46-1
Shnaider D.[6]
Siniakova K.
6-30-66-0