Aryna Sabalenka vs Paula Badosa — Roland Garros Round of 32

Roland Garros · WTA · Round of 32
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR1
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
2103Clay ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 May 2024
clay
Paula Badosa
ESP
Paula Badosa
#141WTA
1780ELO
1684Clay ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
Sabalenka A.
7-5 6-1
Badosa P.
Sabalenka A.
762
Badosa P.
510

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Paula Badosa 7-5 6-1 in the Roland Garros round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 5–2, defending last year's semi-final. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Aryna Sabalenka came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

5–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-13Australian OpenSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-2
2024-04-15StuttgartR16clayAryna Sabalenka7-6(4) 4-6 3-3 RET
2024-03-18MiamiR64hardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-3
2023-04-17StuttgartQFclayAryna Sabalenka4-6 6-4 6-4
2022-04-18StuttgartSFclayAryna Sabalenka7-6(5) 6-4
2021-11-10Guadalajara FinalsRRhardPaula Badosa6-4 6-0
2021-08-16CincinnatiR32hardPaula Badosa5-7 6-2 7-6(4)
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Badosa P.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Sabalenka A.Badosa P.
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
45%
Service points won·Even
63%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Even
4.4
4.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (165 vs 104). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sabalenka A.Badosa P.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
93
Break points saved·Even
98
95
Break points won·Slight edge
100
94
Deciding sets·Even
97
95
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
9.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Badosa P.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+419 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Clay Elo 1684
10.0Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1780
10.0
H2H
0.0
8.3
Surface form
5.8
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sabalenka A.Badosa P.
Freshness·Clear edge
86
64

Sabalenka A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Badosa P.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 74 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°CDrizzle
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[3]
Paolini J.[13]
6-26-1
Semi-finals
Swiatek I.[3]
Gauff C.[4]
6-26-4
Paolini J.[13]
Andreeva M.[8]
6-36-1
Quarter-finals
Gauff C.[4]
Jabeur O.[8]
4-66-26-3
Swiatek I.[3]
Vondrousova M.[5]
6-06-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-756-46-4
Paolini J.[13]
Rybakina E.[2]
6-24-66-4
R16
Gauff C.[4]
Cocciaretto E.
6-16-2
Swiatek I.[3]
Potapova A.[28]
6-06-0
Sabalenka A.[1]
Navarro E.[22]
6-26-3
Rybakina E.[2]
Svitolina E.[7]
6-46-3
Vondrousova M.[5]
Danilovic O.
6-46-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Gracheva V.
7-56-2
Jabeur O.[8]
Tauson C.[21]
6-46-4
Paolini J.[13]
Avanesyan E.
4-66-06-1
R32
Gauff C.[4]
Yastremska D.[30]
6-26-4
Paolini J.[13]
Andreescu B.[25]
6-13-66-0
Vondrousova M.[5]
Paquet C.
6-16-3
Avanesyan E.
Zheng Q.[7]
3-66-37-66
Jabeur O.[8]
Fernandez L.[24]
6-47-65
Rybakina E.[2]
Mertens E.[23]
6-46-2
Navarro E.[22]
Keys M.[19]
7-657-63
Swiatek I.[3]
Bouzkova M.[27]
6-46-2
Potapova A.[28]
Wang X.
7-56-766-4
Danilovic O.
Vekic D.
0-67-57-68
Tauson C.[21]
Kenin S.
6-27-5
Gracheva V.
Begu I.
7-56-3
Svitolina E.[7]
Bogdan A.
7-56-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Stearns P.
6-26-1
Cocciaretto E.
Samsonova L.[20]
7-646-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Badosa P.
7-56-1
R64
Jabeur O.[8]
Osorio C.
6-31-66-3
Swiatek I.[3]
Osaka N.[16]
7-611-67-5
Bouzkova M.[27]
Fett J.
6-26-2
Danilovic O.
Collins D.[11]
6-737-56-4
Paquet C.
Siniakova K.[32]
3-67-627-66
Vekic D.
Kostyuk M.[15]
7-56-4
Vondrousova M.[5]
Volynets K.
0-66-16-4
Gauff C.[4]
Zidansek T.[22]
6-36-4
Yastremska D.[30]
Wang Y.
6-26-0
Samsonova L.[20]
Anisimova A.[6]
6-26-1
Tauson C.[21]
Ostapenko J.[29]
7-644-66-3
Kenin S.
Garcia C.[21]
6-36-3
Zheng Q.[7]
Korpatsch T.
6-26-2
Andreescu B.[25]
Kalinskaya A.[22]
1-67-56-3
Avanesyan E.
Blinkova A.
6-36-0
Bogdan A.
Pavlyuchenkova A.[20]
6-46-4
Paolini J.[13]
Baptiste H.[26]
6-47-66
Gracheva V.
Pera B.
6-16-3
Stearns P.
Kasatkina D.[10]
7-56-2
Begu I.
Noskova L.[12]
6-46-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Azarenka V.[19]
6-33-67-5
Badosa P.
Putintseva Y.
4-66-17-5
Sabalenka A.[1]
Uchijima M.
6-26-2
Keys M.[19]
Sherif M.
6-07-67
Navarro E.[22]
Errani S.
6-27-5
Cocciaretto E.
Bucsa C.[31]
6-16-4
Wang X.
Tomova V.
7-55-76-1
Mertens E.[23]
Martic P.
6-46-3
Rybakina E.[2]
Rus A.
6-36-4
Fernandez L.[24]
Wang X.[32]
6-36-4
Svitolina E.[7]
Parry D.
6-47-63
Potapova A.[28]
Golubic V.
6-26-2
R128
Vekic D.
Tsurenko L.
6-5
Zheng Q.[7]
Cornet A.
6-26-1
Svitolina E.[7]
Pliskova K.[20]
3-66-46-2
Rus A.
Kerber A.
6-46-3
Uchijima M.
Burillo Escorihuela I.
6-16-1
Sherif M.
Yuan Y.[10]
6-16-3
Osaka N.[16]
Bronzetti L.
6-14-67-5
Martic P.
Mladenovic K.
6-46-4
Avanesyan E.
Zhu L.
6-26-4
Navarro E.[22]
Sonmez Z.
6-26-0
Paquet C.
Shnaider D.[25]
6-36-1
Golubic V.
Krejcikova B.[24]
7-636-4
Stearns P.
Ciric Bagaric L.
6-36-787-66
Yastremska D.[30]
Tomljanovic A.
3-66-36-3
Garcia C.[21]
Lys E.
4-67-56-2
Blinkova A.
Cirstea S.[18]
6-33-67-65
Mertens E.[23]
Carle M.
6-37-68
Gracheva V.
Sakkari M.[6]
3-66-46-3
Danilovic O.
Trevisan M.
6-16-2
Siniakova K.[32]
Galfi D.
7-57-63
Kostyuk M.[15]
Pigossi L.
7-56-746-4
Volynets K.
Krunic A.
7-646-2
Vondrousova M.[5]
Masarova R.
6-16-3
Zidansek T.[22]
Van Uytvanck A.
6-22-66-1
Cocciaretto E.
Haddad Maia B.[13]
3-66-46-1
Kenin S.
Siegemund L.
4-66-26-2
Wang X.[32]
Bai Z.
7-56-746-3
Osorio C.
Kalinina A.
3-67-624-1
Jabeur O.[8]
Vickery S.
6-36-2
Korpatsch T.
Krueger A.
4-66-47-69
Parry D.
Ferro F.
3-66-36-3
Bogdan A.
Jacquemot E.
6-16-3
Pera B.
Hibino N.
6-26-0
Rybakina E.[2]
Minnen G.
6-26-3
Azarenka V.[19]
Podoroska N.
6-16-0
Keys M.[19]
Zarazua R.
6-36-2
Errani S.
Schmiedlova A.
6-36-2
Badosa P.
Boulter K.[26]
4-67-56-4
Putintseva Y.
Stephens S.
6-16-2
Begu I.
Riera J.
6-26-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.[20]
Udvardy P.
6-36-4
Kasatkina D.[10]
Frech M.
7-56-1
Anisimova A.[6]
Sramkova R.
7-666-4
Paolini J.[13]
Saville D.
6-36-4
Fett J.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-23-67-5
Wang X.
Niemeier J.
0-66-26-4
Collins D.[11]
Dolehide C.
6-36-4
Tomova V.
Alexandrova E.[14]
6-37-65
Wang Y.
Timofeeva M.[24]
6-36-3
Bucsa C.[31]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-46-1
Ostapenko J.[29]
Cristian J.
6-47-5
Tauson C.[21]
Maria T.
6-26-3
Fernandez L.[24]
Ponchet J.
6-26-0
Kalinskaya A.[22]
Burel C.
7-637-5
Andreescu B.[25]
Sorribes Tormo S.
7-56-1
Andreeva M.[8]
Bektas E.
6-26-3
Swiatek I.[3]
Jeanjean L.
6-16-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Andreeva E.
6-16-2
Gauff C.[4]
Avdeeva J.
6-16-1
Baptiste H.[26]
Day K.
4-66-26-2
Noskova L.[12]
Dart H.
7-636-4
Bouzkova M.[27]
Kudermetova V.[29]
6-26-4
Samsonova L.[20]
Linette M.
6-16-1
Potapova A.[28]
Rakhimova K.
6-26-3