

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Paula Badosa 4-6 6-4 6-4 in the Stuttgart quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 5–2, defending last year's final. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 6–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | SF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2024-05-27 | Roland Garros | R32 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-5 6-1 |
| 2024-04-15 | Stuttgart | R16 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-6(4) 4-6 3-3 RET |
| 2024-03-18 | Miami | R64 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2022-04-18 | Stuttgart | SF | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-6(5) 6-4 |
| 2021-11-10 | Guadalajara Finals | RR | hard | Paula Badosa | 6-4 6-0 |
| 2021-08-16 | Cincinnati | R32 | hard | Paula Badosa | 5-7 6-2 7-6(4) |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 131). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Badosa P.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 98 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About