Aryna Sabalenka vs Paula Badosa — Miami Round of 64

Miami · WTA · Round of 64
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR2
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 March 2024
hard
Paula Badosa
ESP
Paula Badosa
#115WTA
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
Sabalenka A.
6-4 6-3
Badosa P.
Sabalenka A.
662
Badosa P.
430

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Paula Badosa 6-4 6-3 in the Miami round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 5–2, defending last year's quarter-final. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

Head to head

5–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-13Australian OpenSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-2
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR32clayAryna Sabalenka7-5 6-1
2024-04-15StuttgartR16clayAryna Sabalenka7-6(4) 4-6 3-3 RET
2023-04-17StuttgartQFclayAryna Sabalenka4-6 6-4 6-4
2022-04-18StuttgartSFclayAryna Sabalenka7-6(5) 6-4
2021-11-10Guadalajara FinalsRRhardPaula Badosa6-4 6-0
2021-08-16CincinnatiR32hardPaula Badosa5-7 6-2 7-6(4)
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Badosa P.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Badosa P.
96
Serve
21
39
Return
19

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sabalenka A.Badosa P.
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
45%
Service points won·Even
63%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Even
4.3
4.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (165 vs 104). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sabalenka A.Badosa P.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
93
Break points saved·Even
98
95
Break points won·Slight edge
100
94
Deciding sets·Even
97
95
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Badosa P.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
10.0+454 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1748
10.0Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1780
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.6
Surface form
4.6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
5.9
Country comfort
6.1
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sabalenka A.Badosa P.
Freshness·Clear edge
92
68

Sabalenka A.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Badosa P.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw

Final
Collins D.
Rybakina E.[4]
7-56-3
Semi-finals
Collins D.
Alexandrova E.[14]
6-36-2
Rybakina E.[4]
Azarenka V.[27]
6-40-67-62
Quarter-finals
Alexandrova E.[14]
Pegula J.[5]
3-66-46-4
Azarenka V.[27]
Putintseva Y.
7-641-66-3
Rybakina E.[4]
Sakkari M.[8]
7-56-746-4
Collins D.
Garcia C.[23]
6-36-2
R16
Sakkari M.[8]
Kalinskaya A.[22]
W/O
Garcia C.[23]
Gauff C.[3]
6-31-66-2
Rybakina E.[4]
Keys M.[17]
6-37-5
Pegula J.[5]
Navarro E.[20]
7-616-3
Putintseva Y.
Kalinina A.[32]
6-47-65
Azarenka V.[27]
Boulter K.[24]
7-56-1
Collins D.
Cirstea S.[19]
6-36-2
Alexandrova E.[14]
Swiatek I.[1]
6-46-2
R32
Cirstea S.[19]
Kasatkina D.[10]
7-56-2
Garcia C.[23]
Osaka N.
7-647-5
Sakkari M.[8]
Yastremska D.[28]
7-56-4
Alexandrova E.[14]
Pavlyuchenkova A.[21]
6-43-66-3
Navarro E.[20]
Paolini J.[12]
6-23-66-0
Pegula J.[5]
Fernandez L.[31]
7-56-4
Kalinskaya A.[22]
Ostapenko J.[9]
6-36-1
Keys M.[17]
Wang X.
6-47-65
Rybakina E.[4]
Townsend T.
6-36-736-4
Azarenka V.[27]
Zheng Q.[7]
6-47-5
Putintseva Y.
Minnen G.
6-22-66-4
Kalinina A.[32]
Sabalenka A.[2]
6-41-66-1
Collins D.
Avanesyan E.
6-16-2
Boulter K.[24]
Haddad Maia B.[11]
6-26-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Noskova L.[26]
6-776-46-4
Gauff C.[3]
Dodin O.
6-46-0
R64
Pegula J.[5]
Zhu L.
6-44-1
Garcia C.[23]
Tomova V.
6-15-2
Kasatkina D.[10]
Liu C.
6-01-0
Osaka N.
Svitolina E.[15]
6-27-65
Zheng Q.[7]
Siniakova K.
4-66-31-0
Boulter K.[24]
Fruhvirtova B.
7-651-0
Swiatek I.[1]
Giorgi C.
6-16-1
Townsend T.
Mertens E.[25]
6-26-2
Alexandrova E.[14]
Vekic D.
6-36-4
Noskova L.[26]
Timofeeva M.
6-46-4
Paolini J.[12]
Volynets K.
7-687-5
Fernandez L.[31]
Arango E.
6-46-2
Gauff C.[3]
Podoroska N.
6-16-2
Dodin O.
Rus A.
6-43-66-3
Collins D.
Potapova A.[30]
6-26-2
Yastremska D.[28]
Saville D.
7-57-5
Keys M.[17]
Shnaider D.
6-26-4
Rybakina E.[4]
Tauson C.
3-67-56-4
Azarenka V.[27]
Stearns P.
7-53-66-4
Minnen G.
Tsurenko L.
7-56-1
Kalinina A.[32]
Wozniacki C.
5-77-56-4
Sabalenka A.[2]
Badosa P.
6-46-3
Navarro E.[20]
Hunter S.
6-46-3
Kalinskaya A.[22]
Wang X.
6-26-2
Ostapenko J.[9]
Siegemund L.
7-636-4
Avanesyan E.
Jabeur O.[6]
6-14-66-3
Wang X.
Kudermetova V.[16]
6-36-2
Sakkari M.[8]
Yuan Y.
6-26-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.[21]
Rogers S.
6-26-1
Cirstea S.[19]
Stephens S.
6-26-1
Haddad Maia B.[11]
Parry D.
3-66-16-4
Putintseva Y.
Samsonova L.[13]
6-14-66-3
R128
Tauson C.
Dolehide C.
6-33-66-2
Hunter S.
Trevisan M.
6-33-0
Volynets K.
Kenin S.
6-24-66-3
Arango E.
Maria T.
6-26-3
Stephens S.
Kerber A.
6-26-3
Collins D.
Pera B.
3-66-16-1
Tsurenko L.
Linette M.
2-66-16-4
Wozniacki C.
Burel C.
6-16-4
Siegemund L.
Krunic A.
4-66-26-2
Rogers S.
Fruhvirtova L.
4-66-46-2
Siniakova K.
Bogdan A.
6-26-4
Shnaider D.
Williams V.
6-36-3
Giorgi C.
Frech M.
6-46-2
Timofeeva M.
Gracheva V.
6-36-3
Zhu L.
Bouzkova M.
6-26-4
Rus A.
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-06-3
Osaka N.
Cocciaretto E.
6-36-4
Liu C.
Martic P.
6-46-1
Avanesyan E.
Andreeva E.
6-03-66-1
Saville D.
Zhang S.
6-42-66-4
Wang X.
Baptiste H.
7-616-3
Townsend T.
Bronzetti L.
3-66-36-4
Fruhvirtova B.
Carle M.
6-36-3
Parry D.
Cristian J.
7-626-2
Podoroska N.
Krueger A.
6-46-2
Badosa P.
Halep S.
1-66-46-3
Yuan Y.
Blinkova A.
6-46-2
Vekic D.
Pliskova K.
6-42-66-2
Tomova V.
Korpatsch T.
6-26-4
Wang X.
Schmiedlova A.
6-16-3
Stearns P.
Wang Y.
6-26-3
Putintseva Y.
Bucsa C.
6-23-66-4