Aryna Sabalenka vs Paula BadosaStuttgart Round of 16

Stuttgart · WTA · Round of 16
#1WTA
2220ELO
2103Clay ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
0 — 0
Sets
Retired
Monday, 15 April 2024
clay
#141WTA
1780ELO
1684Clay ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
Sabalenka A.
7-6 4-6 3-3
Badosa P.
Sabalenka A.
7743
Badosa P.
6463

Aryna Sabalenka advanced when Paula Badosa retired 7-6 4-6 3-3 in the Stuttgart round of 16. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 6–2.

Head to head

52
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-13Australian OpenSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-2
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR32clayAryna Sabalenka7-5 6-1
2024-03-18MiamiR64hardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-3
2023-04-17StuttgartQFclayAryna Sabalenka4-6 6-4 6-4
2022-04-18StuttgartSFclayAryna Sabalenka7-6(5) 6-4
2021-11-10Guadalajara FinalsRRhardPaula Badosa6-4 6-0
2021-08-16CincinnatiR32hardPaula Badosa5-7 6-2 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Badosa P.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
45%
Service points won·Even
63%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Even
4.3
4.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
5.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (165 vs 104). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
93
Break points saved·Even
98
95
Break points won·Slight edge
100
94
Deciding sets·Even
97
95
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+419 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Clay Elo 1684
10.0Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1780
10.0
H2H
0.0
8.2
Surface form
6.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.2
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
64

Sabalenka A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Badosa P.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 74 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 87%