Elina Avanesyan vs Paula Badosa — Brisbane Round of 32

Brisbane · WTA · Round of 32
ARM
Elina Avanesyan
#211WTA
1694ELO
1640Hard ELO
23 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 December 2024
hard
Paula Badosa
ESP4
Paula Badosa
#141WTA
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
Avanesyan E.
6-3 1-6 6-2
Badosa P.
Avanesyan E.
6162
Badosa P.
3621

Elina Avanesyan defeated Paula Badosa 6-3 1-6 6-2 in the Brisbane round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Paula Badosa came in ranked #141.

Key context

  • Match story: Elina Avanesyan closed it out in three sets, 6–3 1–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Avanesyan E.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Badosa P.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Avanesyan E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Avanesyan E.Badosa P.
—
Serve
21
—
Return
19

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Avanesyan E.Badosa P.
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
59%
Return points won·Even
47%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.6
4.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.1
5.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (105 vs 104). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Avanesyan E.Badosa P.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
74
93
Break points saved·Dominant
60
95
Break points won·Even
97
94
Deciding sets·Slight edge
90
95
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
79
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Avanesyan E.
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 70 days (−1.2)
Badosa P.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 47 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1640
Surface ELO
6.5+108 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1780
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
6.4
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Avanesyan E.Badosa P.
Freshness·Dominant
93
64

Avanesyan E.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Badosa P.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 74 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CDrizzle
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw

Final
Rybakina E.[2]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-06-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kudermetova P.
4-66-36-2
Semi-finals
Rybakina E.[2]
Noskova L.
6-36-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Azarenka V.[8]
6-26-4
Kudermetova P.
Kalinina A.
6-46-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Andreeva M.[8]
6-36-2
Quarter-finals
Rybakina E.[2]
Potapova A.[11]
6-1
Azarenka V.[8]
Ostapenko J.[3]
6-33-67-5
Noskova L.
Andreeva M.
7-56-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kasatkina D.[5]
6-16-4
Kalinina A.
Birrell K.
4-66-17-5
Andreeva M.[8]
Jabeur O.
6-47-62
Kudermetova P.
Krueger A.
7-656-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Bouzkova M.
6-36-4
R16
Ostapenko J.[3]
Pliskova K.[16]
6-24-66-3
Potapova A.[11]
Kudermetova V.[6]
7-56-776-4
Noskova L.
Riera J.
6-16-746-3
Azarenka V.[8]
Burel C.
7-56-2
Kasatkina D.[5]
Linette M.[9]
6-46-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Zhu L.[15]
6-16-0
Andreeva M.
Rodionova A.
6-16-1
Rybakina E.[2]
Mertens E.[13]
6-16-0
Kudermetova P.
Kasatkina D.[3]
1-66-27-5
Sabalenka A.[1]
Putintseva Y.[15]
7-626-4
Bouzkova M.
Azarenka V.[10]
6-46-4
Andreeva M.[8]
Noskova L.[12]
6-36-0
Jabeur O.
Avanesyan E.
6-41-66-4
Kalinina A.
Yuan Y.
6-16-4
Krueger A.
Lamens S.
7-56-0
Birrell K.
Potapova A.
7-626-2
R32
Pliskova K.[16]
Osaka N.
3-67-646-4
Kasatkina D.[5]
Kostyuk M.
6-36-4
Kudermetova V.[6]
Schmiedlova A.
6-26-3
Ostapenko J.[3]
Giorgi C.
6-16-4
Mertens E.[13]
Stephens S.
2-66-16-3
Burel C.
Kalinina A.[12]
6-46-1
Riera J.
Alexandrova E.[7]
6-36-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Bronzetti L.
6-36-0
Azarenka V.[8]
Kalinskaya A.
6-17-68
Potapova A.[11]
Saville D.
6-43-66-4
Rybakina E.[2]
Gadecki O.
6-46-1
Linette M.[9]
Bucsa C.
6-37-5
Rodionova A.
Kenin S.[14]
7-57-67
Zhu L.[15]
Collins D.
1-66-37-67
Noskova L.
Cirstea S.[10]
6-44-66-4
Andreeva M.
Samsonova L.[4]
6-26-1
Noskova L.[12]
Todoni A.
6-16-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Zarazua R.
6-46-0
Bouzkova M.
Ostapenko J.[7]
7-606-4
Kasatkina D.[3]
Stearns P.
7-674-67-5
Andreeva M.[8]
Blinkova A.
6-46-4
Krueger A.
Kalinskaya A.[6]
6-36-3
Azarenka V.[10]
Joint M.
6-756-26-4
Putintseva Y.[15]
Kessler M.
6-27-5
Yuan Y.
Kostyuk M.[9]
6-46-3
Kalinina A.
Shnaider D.[5]
6-34-66-1
Birrell K.
Navarro E.[2]
7-57-5
Jabeur O.
Alexandrova E.[14]
6-36-2
Potapova A.
Yastremska D.[16]
7-56-4
Avanesyan E.
Badosa P.[4]
6-31-66-2
Lamens S.
Frech M.[11]
7-56-3
Kudermetova P.
Samsonova L.[13]
6-776-36-2
R64
Riera J.
Tomova V.
6-26-4
Gadecki O.
Birrell K.
4-66-06-4
Osaka N.
Korpatsch T.
6-37-69
Bucsa C.
Minnen G.
5-76-36-1
Bronzetti L.
Krueger A.
6-47-5
Kostyuk M.
Bogdan A.
4-66-36-3
Giorgi C.
Stearns P.
5-76-26-3
Burel C.
Sonmez Z.
6-46-2
Noskova L.
Babos T.
5-77-687-62
Andreeva M.
Shnaider D.
6-26-3
Schmiedlova A.
Dolehide C.
3-66-46-2
Saville D.
Yastremska D.
6-06-4
Stephens S.
Siniakova K.
7-56-3
Collins D.
Baptiste H.
6-14-66-3
Kalinskaya A.
Pera B.
6-26-1
Rodionova A.
Trevisan M.
6-36-2
Kalinina A.
Wang Y.
6-42-0
Potapova A.
Bogdan A.
2-66-42-0
Bouzkova M.
Gibson T.
7-653-66-3
Kudermetova P.
Wang X.
6-16-3
Joint M.
Inglis M.
6-36-4
Birrell K.
Hon P.
3-67-56-2
Krueger A.
Uchijima M.
6-31-66-3
Jabeur O.
Zheng S.
7-656-4
Zarazua R.
Tomova V.
6-06-3
Stearns P.
Kudermetova V.
6-26-3
Lamens S.
Rakhimova K.
6-26-4
Blinkova A.
Bejlek S.
6-17-65
Kessler M.
Linette M.
6-46-4
Avanesyan E.
Sramkova R.
1-66-26-2
Yuan Y.
Rus A.
6-26-4
Todoni A.
Bucsa C.
7-636-2