Aryna Sabalenka vs Ashlyn Krueger — Beijing Round of 32

Beijing · WTA · Round of 32
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR1
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 25 September 2024
hard
USA
Ashlyn Krueger
#102WTA
1791ELO
1723Hard ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Sabalenka A.
6-2 6-2
Krueger A.
Sabalenka A.
662
Krueger A.
220

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Ashlyn Krueger 6-2 6-2 in the Beijing round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Krueger A.

Krueger A.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Krueger A.
96
Serve
37
39
Return
7

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sabalenka A.Krueger A.
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
56%
Aces / match·Even
4.3
3.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (165 vs 129). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sabalenka A.Krueger A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
98
79
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
87
Break points won·Clear edge
100
85
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
92
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 44 days (−0.7)
Krueger A.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+478 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1723
10.0Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1791
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.6
Surface form
6.6
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
8.0
7.1
Country comfort
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sabalenka A.Krueger A.
Freshness·Even
86
83

Sabalenka A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Krueger A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw

Final
Gauff C.[4]
Muchova K.
6-16-3
Semi-finals
Muchova K.
Zheng Q.[5]
6-36-4
Gauff C.[4]
Badosa P.[15]
4-66-46-2
Quarter-finals
Gauff C.[4]
Starodubtseva Y.
2-66-26-2
Muchova K.
Sabalenka A.[1]
7-652-66-4
Badosa P.[15]
Zhang S.
6-17-64
Zheng Q.[5]
Andreeva M.[17]
5-76-06-4
R16
Gauff C.[4]
Osaka N.
3-66-40-0
Sabalenka A.[1]
Keys M.[18]
6-46-3
Muchova K.
Bucsa C.
6-26-0
Zhang S.
Frech M.[23]
6-46-2
Badosa P.[15]
Pegula J.[2]
6-46-0
Starodubtseva Y.
Kalinskaya A.[10]
7-56-0
Andreeva M.[17]
Linette M.[31]
6-16-3
Zheng Q.[5]
Anisimova A.[34]
3-66-16-2
R32
Gauff C.[4]
Boulter K.[26]
7-56-2
Kalinskaya A.[10]
Stearns P.
3-66-33-1
Andreeva M.[17]
Vekic D.[16]
3-66-46-4
Muchova K.
Cristian J.
6-16-3
Starodubtseva Y.
Avanesyan E.
6-36-1
Osaka N.
Volynets K.
6-36-2
Badosa P.[15]
Sramkova R.
7-57-5
Frech M.[23]
Shnaider D.[12]
0-66-36-4
Anisimova A.[34]
Kasatkina D.[9]
7-616-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Krueger A.
6-26-2
Keys M.[18]
Haddad Maia B.[13]
6-36-3
Bucsa C.
Mertens E.[24]
4-66-26-2
Linette M.[31]
Paolini J.[3]
6-46-0
Zheng Q.[5]
Podoroska N.
6-36-2
Zhang S.
Minnen G.
6-26-3
Pegula J.[2]
Kudermetova V.[32]
6-796-16-2
R64
Osaka N.
Putintseva Y.[21]
3-66-46-2
Shnaider D.[12]
Kenin S.
6-26-3
Keys M.[18]
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-26-1
Badosa P.[15]
Tomova V.
6-36-2
Zhang S.
Navarro E.[6]
6-46-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Sawangkaew M.
6-46-1
Krueger A.
Sun L.[29]
6-17-64
Haddad Maia B.[13]
Wei S.
7-56-4
Bucsa C.
Samsonova L.[11]
6-14-66-4
Mertens E.[24]
Cocciaretto E.
6-46-766-3
Muchova K.
Yuan Y.[30]
6-36-1
Avanesyan E.
Dolehide C.[33]
6-35-76-2
Starodubtseva Y.
Siniakova K.[27]
6-26-2
Stearns P.
Fernandez L.[20]
7-56-2
Kalinskaya A.[10]
Baptiste H.
3-67-627-65
Volynets K.
Kostyuk M.[14]
7-56-3
Frech M.[23]
Parks A.
6-45-76-4
Paolini J.[3]
Tauson C.
1-67-56-4
Linette M.[31]
Uchijima M.
6-44-66-3
Andreeva M.[17]
Begu I.
6-756-16-1
Vekic D.[16]
Golubic V.
4-67-636-4
Kasatkina D.[9]
Fett J.
6-16-2
Podoroska N.
Yastremska D.[25]
7-56-746-2
Boulter K.[26]
Townsend T.
6-46-4
Gauff C.[4]
Burel C.
7-56-3
Kudermetova V.[32]
Wang X.
3-66-47-5
Pegula J.[2]
Parry D.
6-17-64
Anisimova A.[34]
Osorio C.
1-66-36-4
Cristian J.
Krejcikova B.[7]
1-66-47-5
Zheng Q.[5]
Rakhimova K.
6-16-1
Minnen G.
Potapova A.[28]
7-52-66-4
Sramkova R.
Alexandrova E.[22]
5-76-46-3
R128
Zhang S.
Kessler M.
7-657-61
Burel C.
Korpatsch T.
6-35-76-3
Tauson C.
Dart H.
5-76-46-1
Bucsa C.
Yao X.
6-36-2
Cristian J.
Bondar A.
6-17-65
Uchijima M.
Shi H.
6-36-4
Golubic V.
Wang X.
7-650-66-3
Fett J.
Wang M.
6-36-4
Avanesyan E.
Bektas E.
6-27-5
Baptiste H.
Gracheva V.
6-06-3
Osaka N.
Bronzetti L.
6-36-2
Townsend T.
Trevisan M.
6-24-66-3
Minnen G.
Andreeva E.
7-56-2
Kenin S.
Bogdan A.
7-56-2
Tomova V.
Tsurenko L.
6-36-3
Sramkova R.
Kalinina A.
6-46-0
Parry D.
Liang E.
4-66-06-0
Krueger A.
Wang Y.
3-66-46-2
Sorribes Tormo S.
Gao X.
6-747-57-5
Muchova K.
Blinkova A.
6-16-1
Podoroska N.
Ren Y.
6-46-2
Rakhimova K.
Birrell K.
6-26-4
Stearns P.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-26-4
Begu I.
Ma Y.
1-66-46-1
Osorio C.
Tomljanovic A.
1-66-36-3
Volynets K.
Galfi D.
7-56-1
Parks A.
Wang Q.
1-66-46-2
Wang X.
Hontama M.
6-16-3
Cocciaretto E.
Rodionova A.
4-66-46-3
Sawangkaew M.
Diyas Z.
6-26-3
Wei S.
Ruse E.
6-47-66
Starodubtseva Y.
Siegemund L.
6-47-63