Casper Ruud faces Carlos Alcaraz in the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris semi-final on hard. Carlos Alcaraz holds the paper edge — ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 6–1, a roughly 200-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Ruud C. and Alcaraz C. faced 15 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Ruud C. went 14–6 (70%) against them, Alcaraz C. 17–3 (85%). Alcaraz C. came out better against 3 of 14 comparable opponents, Ruud C. against 0 — though 1 of those edges carries caveats (retirement).
Hard: Alcaraz C. leads 5–1 · Clay: Alcaraz C. leads 1–0
Umpiry, "Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Semi-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-07/alcaraz-vs-ruud-rolex-paris-masters-paris-sf?utm_source=cite (as of 7 November 2026).