Casper Ruud vs Carlos AlcarazTour Finals Round Robin

Tour Finals · ATP · Round Robin
#13ATP
1983ELO
1889Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 11 November 2024
hard
#3ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Ruud C.
6-1 7-5
Alcaraz C.
Ruud C.
672
Alcaraz C.
150

Casper Ruud defeated Carlos Alcaraz 6-1 7-5 in the Tour Finals round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 6–0, defending last year's semi-final. Casper Ruud claimed a first win over Carlos Alcaraz in seven meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Casper Ruud came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–5.

Head to head

06
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersR16hardCarlos Alcaraz6-1 7-6(2)
2025-09-24TokyoSFhardCarlos Alcaraz3-6 6-3 6-4
2023-09-27BeijingQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-2
2022-08-29US OpenFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 2-6 7-6(1) 6-3
2022-03-21Miami MastersFhardCarlos Alcaraz7-5 6-4
2021-04-05MarbellaQFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Ruud C.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Alcaraz C.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ruud C.Alcaraz C.
59
Serve
74
31
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
57%
Service points won·Even
67%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
42%
Break points saved·Even
65%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.0
5.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (146 vs 170). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
91
98
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Clear edge
75
99
Deciding sets·Even
99
100
Tiebreaks·Even
97
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
8.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.8Hard Elo 1889
Surface ELO
9.2+200 Hard Elo edge
0.8Overall Elo 1983
ELO gap
9.2Overall Elo 2162
0.0
H2H
10.0
1.7
Surface form
7.6
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.7
Minutes 14d
7.7
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Ruud C.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast