Casper Ruud vs Alex De Minaur — United Cup Round Robin

United Cup · ATP · Round Robin
Casper Ruud
NOR17
Casper Ruud
#12ATP
1983ELO
1889Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
Alex De Minaur
AUS4
Alex De Minaur
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Ruud C.
6-3 6-3
De Minaur A.
Ruud C.
662
De Minaur A.
330

Casper Ruud defeated Alex De Minaur 6-3 6-3 in the United Cup round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Casper Ruud claimed a first win over Alex De Minaur in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-26AcapulcoFhardAlex De Minaur6-4 6-4
2019-11-05NextGen FinalsRRhardAlex De Minaur4-1 4-0 4-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Ruud C.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

De Minaur A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ruud C.De Minaur A.
59
Serve
48
31
Return
80

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Ruud C.De Minaur A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
56%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
71%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.9
4.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Ruud C.De Minaur A.
Clutch Rating·Even
91
95
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Clear edge
75
97
Deciding sets·Even
99
97
Tiebreaks·Even
97
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ruud C.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 70 days (−1.2)
De Minaur A.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 57 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1889
Surface ELO
6.0+47 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1983
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1961
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.4
Surface form
4.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.1
Country comfort
8.1
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ruud C.De Minaur A.
Freshness·Clear edge
97
73

Ruud C.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · De Minaur A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 72 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw

Final
Hurkacz H.[9]
Wawrinka S.[16]
6-33-66-3
Semi-finals
Hurkacz H.[9]
Fritz T.[1]
7-617-62
Bergs Z.[7]
Wawrinka S.[16]
6-36-746-3
Quarter-finals
Bergs Z.[7]
Mensik J.[11]
6-27-64
Tsitsipas S.[12]
Fritz T.[1]
6-47-5
Baez S.[14]
Wawrinka S.[16]
7-56-4
De Minaur A.[4]
Hurkacz H.[9]
6-44-66-4
Round Robin
De Minaur A.[4]
Mensik J.[11]
6-46-1
Auger Aliassime F.[2]
Zhang Z.[18]
6-46-4
Baez S.[14]
Fritz T.[1]
4-67-56-4
Fritz T.[1]
Munar J.[10]
7-643-67-66
Zhang Z.[18]
Bergs Z.[7]
6-727-637-5
Hurkacz H.[9]
Zverev A.[6]
6-36-4
Tsitsipas S.[12]
Harris B.[5]
4-66-17-64
Harris B.[5]
Mochizuki S.[13]
7-646-3
Tsitsipas S.[12]
Mochizuki S.[13]
6-36-4
Rinderknech A.[8]
Cobolli F.[3]
6-747-657-5
Baez S.[14]
Munar J.[10]
6-46-4
Hurkacz H.[9]
Griekspoor T.[15]
6-37-64
Cobolli F.[3]
Wawrinka S.[16]
6-46-727-64
Wawrinka S.[16]
Rinderknech A.[8]
5-77-657-65
Mensik J.[11]
Ruud C.[17]
7-57-66
Ruud C.[17]
De Minaur A.[4]
6-36-3
Zverev A.[6]
Griekspoor T.[15]
7-56-0
Bergs Z.[7]
Auger Aliassime F.[2]
6-46-2