Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud — Gstaad Round of 16
POR
NOR
Faria J.
Jaime Faria faces Casper Ruud in the Gstaad round of 16 on clay. Casper Ruud holds the paper edge — ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's quarter-final.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 21:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Ruud C. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Jaime Faria comes in with 12 days of rest and 84 games in 14d, vs Casper Ruud's 15 and 0.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Casper Ruud has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 91 vs 54).
- Last match: Jaime Faria dropped the opening set before beating Stan Wawrinka 6–7 6–4 6–4.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Serve & return on clay
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-13 | Davis Cup WG1 R1: NOR vs POR | RR | hard | Casper Ruud | 7-6(3) 6-2 |