Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz — Vienna Round of 32
Why
Surface+305 Hard Elo edgeSupports Alcaraz C.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 2162Supports Alcaraz C.
Head-to-headLeads 2–0 on hardSupports Alcaraz C.
This eventReached the R32 here last yearAgainst the prediction · Khachanov K.
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysInformative
ELO2 046
Hard ELO1 897
Last 106–4
Age30
Height198 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $23.5M2026 $1.4M
ELO2 419
Hard ELO2 202
Last 108–2
Age23
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $65.0M2026 $4.4M
Karen Khachanov faces Carlos Alcaraz in the Vienna round of 32 on hard. Carlos Alcaraz holds the paper edge — ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 6–0, a roughly 310-point hard Elo advantage.
Key context
- Freshness: Karen Khachanov comes in with 2 days of rest and 122 games in 14d, vs Carlos Alcaraz's 13 and 25.
- Serve & return: Karen Khachanov brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 60), Carlos Alcaraz the stronger return game (Return Rating 85).
- Head-to-head: Carlos Alcaraz leads the head-to-head 6–0, 0–2 on hard. Last met at Doha 2026.
Common opponents
10 shared · last 12 monthsKhachanov K. and Alcaraz C. faced 10 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Khachanov K. went 6–7 (46%) against them, Alcaraz C. 11–0 (100%). Alcaraz C. came out better against 5 of 9 comparable opponents, Khachanov K. against 0.
6–746%Khachanov K. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents11–0100%Alcaraz C. · better vs 5
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
18–19Sets26–4
184–174Games186–116
0–6Tiebreaks6–3
2–3Deciding sets3–0
vs Zverev A.#2L3-6 6-7(7) 6-7(6)US Open · hardW6-4 7-6 6-7 6-7 7-5Australian Open · hard
vs Auger-Aliassime F.#7W6-7(5) 6-3 6-2 6-2US Open · hardW6-2 6-4Tour Finals · hard
vs De Minaur A.#8L2-6 2-6Paris Masters · hardW7-6 6-2Tour Finals · hard
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vs Ruud C.#24L1-6 6-1 2-6Rome Masters · clayW6-1 7-6Indian Wells Masters · hard
vs Fonseca J.#28L6-4 6-7 4-6Indian Wells Masters · hardW6-4 6-4Miami Masters · hard
vs Michelsen A.#37W4-6 6-4 6-3 5-7 6-3Australian Open · hardW7-6(1) 4-6 6-1Tokyo · hard- vs Hanfmann Y.#59W6-3 6-4 6-4Wimbledon · grassW7-6 6-3 6-2Australian Open · hard
vs Rinderknech A.#61L5-7 2-6Monte Carlo Masters · clayW6-7 6-3 6-2Indian Wells Masters · hard- vs Walton A.#97W6-2 6-3Madrid Masters · clayW6-3 7-6 6-2Australian Open · hard
vs Bublik A.#19Hard to compareL6-4 6-7(5) 6-7(5)Almaty · hardW6-3 6-0Monte Carlo Masters · clay
Head-to-head
6 meetings · Alcaraz C. leads 6–006
Hard: Alcaraz C. leads 2–0 · Clay: Alcaraz C. leads 4–0
- Alcaraz C.February 2026DohaHard6-7 6-4 6-3
- Alcaraz C.May 2025Rome MastersClay6-3 3-6 7-5
- Alcaraz C.September 2024BeijingHard7-5 6-2
- Alcaraz C.April 2023Madrid MastersClay6-4 7-5
- Alcaraz C.July 2022HamburgClay6-0 6-2
Evidence
Khachanov K.Alcaraz C.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–48–2 (ahead)
Season win rate54% (27–23)85% (33–6) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO20462419 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO18972202 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 48 vs 38 matches
1st-serve points won76% (ahead)73%
Return points won36%42% (ahead)
Aces / match8.1 (ahead)4.4
ClutchLast 48 vs 38 matches
Break points saved70% (ahead)65%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz — Vienna Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/alcaraz-vs-khachanov-vienna-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).