Alex De Minaur vs Karen Khachanov — Paris Masters Round of 16

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 16
Alex De Minaur
AUS6
Alex De Minaur
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025
hard
Karen Khachanov
RUS10
Karen Khachanov
#22ATP
1828ELO
1783Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
De Minaur A.
6-2 6-2
Khachanov K.
De Minaur A.
662
Khachanov K.
220

Alex De Minaur defeated Karen Khachanov 6-2 6-2 in the Paris Masters round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, defending last year's quarter-final. Alex De Minaur narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-21ViennaSFhardKaren Khachanov6-2 6-4
2022-02-21DubaiR32hardKaren Khachanov6-3 6-7(1) 7-5
2020-08-31US OpenR32hardAlex De Minaur6-4 0-6 4-6 6-3 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Khachanov K.

Khachanov K.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Minaur A.Khachanov K.
48
Serve
61
80
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
De Minaur A.Khachanov K.
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
67%
Return points won·Even
40%
36%
Break points saved·Even
64%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.0
7.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 71). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
De Minaur A.Khachanov K.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
95
86
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Clear edge
97
81
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
83
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
De Minaur A.
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Khachanov K.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+153 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1783
6.9Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1828
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.2
Surface form
3.2
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
6.4
Minutes 14d
7.4
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
5.3
Country comfort
6.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
De Minaur A.Khachanov K.
Freshness·Even
77
80

De Minaur A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Khachanov K.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 82%
Final
Sinner J.[2]
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
6-47-64
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[2]
Zverev A.[3]
6-06-1
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Bublik A.[13]
7-636-4
Quarter-finals
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Vacherot V.
6-26-2
Bublik A.[13]
De Minaur A.[6]
6-756-47-5
Sinner J.[2]
Shelton B.[5]
6-36-3
Zverev A.[3]
Medvedev D.[11]
2-66-37-65
R16
Shelton B.[5]
Rublev A.[12]
7-666-3
De Minaur A.[6]
Khachanov K.[10]
6-26-2
Zverev A.[3]
Davidovich Fokina A.[15]
6-26-4
Sinner J.[2]
Cerundolo F.
7-56-1
Medvedev D.[11]
Sonego L.
3-67-656-4
Vacherot V.
Norrie C.
7-646-4
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Altmaier D.
3-66-36-2
Bublik A.[13]
Fritz T.[4]
7-656-2
R32
Medvedev D.[11]
Dimitrov G.
W/O
Shelton B.[5]
Cobolli F.
7-646-3
Cerundolo F.
Kecmanovic M.
7-51-67-64
Sinner J.[2]
Bergs Z.
6-46-2
Rublev A.[12]
Tien L.
6-46-4
De Minaur A.[6]
Diallo G.
7-684-66-3
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Muller A.
5-77-657-64
Vacherot V.
Rinderknech A.
6-796-36-4
Altmaier D.
Ruud C.[8]
6-37-5
Davidovich Fokina A.[15]
Cazaux A.
7-656-4
Sonego L.
Musetti L.[7]
3-66-36-1
Norrie C.
Alcaraz C.[1]
4-66-36-4
Fritz T.[4]
Vukic A.
7-646-2
Bublik A.[13]
Moutet C.
6-37-5
Zverev A.[3]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-756-17-5
Khachanov K.[10]
Fonseca J.
6-13-66-3
R64
Cazaux A.
Darderi L.
7-657-64
Rinderknech A.
Marozsan F.
7-657-64
Vacherot V.
Lehecka J.[14]
6-16-3
Muller A.
Nakashima B.
6-27-5
Bublik A.[13]
Popyrin A.
6-46-3
Bergs Z.
Michelsen A.
6-32-66-2
Ugo Carabelli C.
Etcheverry T.
7-56-3
Diallo G.
Griekspoor T.
6-36-4
Fonseca J.
Shapovalov D.
5-76-46-3
Dimitrov G.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
7-656-1
Medvedev D.[11]
Munar J.
6-16-3
Tien L.
Borges N.
6-27-67
Cerundolo F.
Dzumhur D.
6-36-3
Sonego L.
Korda S.
6-26-3
Cobolli F.
Machac T.
6-16-4
Altmaier D.
Giron M.
6-27-65
Vukic A.
Atmane T.
6-42-66-4
Norrie C.
Baez S.
6-36-4
Rublev A.[12]
Fearnley J.
6-16-4
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Comesana F.
6-726-36-3
Kecmanovic M.
Kovacevic A.
6-41-67-62
Moutet C.
Opelka R.
3-67-56-1
Davidovich Fokina A.[15]
Royer V.
4-66-16-4
Khachanov K.[10]
Quinn E.
6-16-1