Karen Khachanov vs Alex De MinaurDubai Round of 32

Dubai · ATP · Round of 32
#22ATP
1828ELO
1783Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 21 February 2022
hard
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Khachanov K.
6-3 6-7 7-5
De Minaur A.
Khachanov K.
66172
De Minaur A.
37751

Karen Khachanov defeated Alex De Minaur 6-3 6-7 7-5 in the Dubai round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 32, but Karen Khachanov had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Karen Khachanov narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Karen Khachanov closed it out in three sets, 6–3 6–7 7–5.

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-27Paris MastersR16hardAlex De Minaur6-2 6-2
2024-10-21ViennaSFhardKaren Khachanov6-2 6-4
2020-08-31US OpenR32hardAlex De Minaur6-4 0-6 4-6 6-3 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Khachanov K.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

De Minaur A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Khachanov K.

Serve advantage — De Minaur A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Khachanov K.De Minaur A.
61
Serve
48
39
Return
80

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
55%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Even
63%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.5
4.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
86
95
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Clear edge
81
97
Deciding sets·Clear edge
83
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1783
Surface ELO
7.0+153 Hard Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1828
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1961
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
6.6
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
2.7
Minutes 14d
6.9
0.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
80
77

Khachanov K.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · De Minaur A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 27 km/hHumidity 63%