Felix Auger Aliassime vs Karen Khachanov — US Open Round of 64
Auger Aliassime F.
Felix Auger Aliassime faces Karen Khachanov in the US Open round of 64 on hard. Felix Auger Aliassime holds the paper edge — ranked #4, defending last year's semi-final, a roughly 150-point hard Elo advantage. They have met 4 times, the series level at 2–2.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Auger Aliassime F. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Felix Auger Aliassime 62 games in 14 days, Karen Khachanov 22.
- Last match: Karen Khachanov handed Roman Andres Burruchaga a second-set bagel in a 6–3 6–0 6–1 win.
- Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 2–2, 1–1 on hard. Last met at Halle 2025.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (43 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadAuger Aliassime F.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 43 games (7d) · Khachanov K.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
2–2| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-16 | Halle | R16 | grass | Karen Khachanov | 6-3 1-6 6-3 |
| 2022-06-06 | s Hertogenbosch | QF | grass | Felix Auger Aliassime | 7-6 6-4 |
| 2021-08-16 | Cincinnati Masters | R32 | hard | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-7 6-3 6-4 |
| 2019-08-05 | Canada Masters | R16 | hard | Karen Khachanov | 6-7 7-5 6-3 |