Felix Auger Aliassime vs Alexandre MullerParis Masters Round of 32

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#4ATP
1958ELO
1932Hard ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025
hard
#126ATP
1665ELO
1630Hard ELO
$426kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
Auger Aliassime F.
5-7 7-6 7-6
Muller A.
Auger Aliassime F.
577772
Muller A.
765641

Felix Auger Aliassime defeated Alexandre Muller 5-7 7-6 7-6 in the Paris Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Felix Auger Aliassime came in ranked #4. Felix Auger Aliassime extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-18HamburgQFclayFelix Auger Aliassime7-6(4) 6-7(6) 6-3
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersR64hardAlexandre Muller6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Auger Aliassime F.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Muller A.

Muller A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Serve advantage — Auger Aliassime F.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Auger Aliassime F.Muller A.
74
Serve
11
44
Return
13

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
61%
Return points won·Even
36%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.9
3.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (97 vs 69). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
84
75
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
94
Break points won·Slight edge
50
44
Deciding sets·Even
99
95
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.7+302 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.3Hard Elo 1630
8.5Overall Elo 1958
ELO gap
1.5Overall Elo 1665
0.0
H2H
10.0
8.0
Surface form
2.6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
1.4
Minutes 14d
8.5
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.7
Country comfort
6.2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
59
98

Auger Aliassime F.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 112 games (7d) · Muller A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 82%