Alexandre Muller vs Felix Auger AliassimeShanghai Masters Round of 64

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#126ATP
1665ELO
1630Hard ELO
$426kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 2 October 2024
hard
#4ATP
1958ELO
1932Hard ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
Muller A.
6-3 6-2
Auger Aliassime F.
Muller A.
662
Auger Aliassime F.
320

Alexandre Muller defeated Felix Auger Aliassime 6-3 6-2 in the Shanghai Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Felix Auger Aliassime came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 64. Alexandre Muller claimed a first win over Felix Auger Aliassime in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-27Paris MastersR32hardFelix Auger Aliassime5-7 7-6(5) 7-6(4)
2025-05-18HamburgQFclayFelix Auger Aliassime7-6(4) 6-7(6) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Muller A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Auger Aliassime F.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Muller A.

Serve advantage — Auger Aliassime F.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Muller A.Auger Aliassime F.
11
Serve
74
13
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
68%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.4
9.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (141 vs 156). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
75
84
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
100
Break points won·Slight edge
44
50
Deciding sets·Even
95
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
84
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.3Hard Elo 1630
Surface ELO
8.7+302 Hard Elo edge
1.5Overall Elo 1665
ELO gap
8.5Overall Elo 1958
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.0
Surface form
6.1
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.7
Minutes 14d
8.1
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
4.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
98
59

Muller A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Auger Aliassime F.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 112 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 50%