Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Karen KhachanovUS Open Round of 128

US Open · ATP · Round of 128
#59ATP
1711ELO
1545Hard ELO
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWW
0 — 3
Sets
Monday, 31 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 11 · 4th on
#49ATP
1828ELO
1783Hard ELO
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLLLW
Burruchaga R.
3-6 0-6 1-6
Khachanov K.
Burruchaga R.
3010
Khachanov K.
6663

Karen Khachanov defeated Roman Andres Burruchaga in the Round of 128 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 6-0, 6-1 in favor of Khachanov. Khachanov hit 4 aces and 2 double faults, converting all his break points and securing 7 service breaks, while Burruchaga had 0 aces, 3 double faults, 0% break points converted and 0 service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-07Rome MastersR64clayKaren Khachanov6-4 5-7 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.4
8.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
67
81
Break points saved·Dominant
68
98
Break points won·Slight edge
73
81
Deciding sets·Even
84
80
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
65
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Burruchaga R.25%
Khachanov K.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Khachanov K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.0Hard Elo 1545
Surface ELO
8.0+238 Hard Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1711
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1828
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
1.52 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.14 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
86
88

Burruchaga R.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Khachanov K.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 81%

Draw