Felix Auger Aliassime vs Jesper De JongShanghai Masters Round of 32

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#4ATP
1958ELO
1932Hard ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 1 October 2025
hard
#73ATP
1711ELO
1607Hard ELO
$612kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWLW
Auger Aliassime F.
6-4 7-5
De Jong J.
Auger Aliassime F.
672
De Jong J.
450

Felix Auger Aliassime defeated Jesper De Jong 6-4 7-5 in the Shanghai Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Felix Auger Aliassime came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64. Felix Auger Aliassime extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-27MontpellierSFhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-4 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Auger Aliassime F.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs De Jong J.

De Jong J.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Auger Aliassime F.De Jong J.
74
Serve
23
44
Return
17

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.0
6.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (97 vs 83). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
84
56
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
90
Break points won·Clear edge
50
37
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
69
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 55 days (−0.7)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.7+325 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.3Hard Elo 1607
9.4Overall Elo 1958
ELO gap
0.6Overall Elo 1711
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.0
Surface form
5.6
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.2
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
59
90

Auger Aliassime F.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 112 games (7d) · De Jong J.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 62%