Alexandre Muller vs Karen KhachanovBeijing Round of 32

Beijing · ATP · Round of 32
#126ATP
1665ELO
1630Hard ELO
$426kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 25 September 2025
hard
#22ATP
1828ELO
1783Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
Muller A.
4-6 7-6 6-4
Khachanov K.
Muller A.
47762
Khachanov K.
66541

Alexandre Muller defeated Karen Khachanov 4-6 7-6 6-4 in the Beijing round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Karen Khachanov came in ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Alexandre Muller claimed a first win over Karen Khachanov in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-09-20MetzR32hardKaren Khachanov4-6 6-1 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Muller A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Khachanov K.

Khachanov K.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Muller A.

Serve advantage — Khachanov K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Muller A.Khachanov K.
11
Serve
61
13
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
67%
Return points won·Even
36%
36%
Break points saved·Even
61%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.4
7.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (69 vs 71). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
75
86
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
99
Break points won·Dominant
44
81
Deciding sets·Clear edge
95
83
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
84
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 39 days (−0.7)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 49 days (−1.0)
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1630
Surface ELO
6.7+153 Hard Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1665
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1828
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
7.1
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
4.9
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
98
77

Muller A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Khachanov K.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 44%