Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen KhachanovRome Masters Round of 16

Rome Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#2ATP
2162ELO
2102Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 7 May 2025
clay
#22ATP
1828ELO
1787Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
Alcaraz C.
6-3 3-6 7-5
Khachanov K.
Alcaraz C.
6372
Khachanov K.
3651

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Karen Khachanov 6-3 3-6 7-5 in the Rome Masters round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 5–0. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 6–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Carlos Alcaraz closed it out in three sets, 6–3 3–6 7–5.

Head to head

50
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-16DohaQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-7(3) 6-4 6-3
2024-09-26BeijingQFhardCarlos Alcaraz7-5 6-2
2023-04-24Madrid MastersQFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-4 7-5
2022-07-18HamburgQFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-0 6-2
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR16clayCarlos Alcaraz6-1 6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Khachanov K.

Khachanov K.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
53%
Service points won·Even
68%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
36%
Break points saved·Even
67%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.6
7.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (103 vs 71). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
98
86
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Clear edge
99
81
Deciding sets·Clear edge
100
83
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 23 days (−0.3)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+314 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Clay Elo 1787
10.0Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1828
10.0
H2H
0.0
8.6
Surface form
5.7
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.9
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
77

Khachanov K.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 75%