Carlos Alcaraz vs Adam WaltonAustralian Open Round of 128

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 128
#3ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 January 2026
hard
#79ATP
1703ELO
1669Hard ELO
$499kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
Alcaraz C.
6-3 7-6 6-2
Walton A.
Alcaraz C.
67763
Walton A.
36220

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Adam Walton 6-3 7-6 6-2 in the Australian Open round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Carlos Alcaraz closed it out in three sets, 6–3 7–6 6–2.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-16Queen's ClubR32grassCarlos Alcaraz6-4 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Walton A.

Walton A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alcaraz C.Walton A.
74
Serve
35
95
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
55%
Service points won·Even
68%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
36%
Break points saved·Even
68%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.8
7.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
98
65
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
95
Break points won·Dominant
99
20
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
95
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 71 days (−1.2)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+419 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1669
10.0Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1703
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.7
Surface form
3.4
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.8
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
6.6
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
46

Walton A.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 122 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
31°CPartly cloudy
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 28%
R128
Borges N.
Auger Aliassime F.[7]
3-66-46-40-0
Alcaraz C.[1]
Walton A.
6-37-626-2
Maestrelli F.
Atmane T.
6-43-66-746-16-1
Mensik J.[16]
Carreno Busta P.
7-54-62-67-616-3
Gea A.
Lehecka J.[17]
7-57-617-5
Duckworth J.
Prizmic D.
7-643-61-67-56-3
Etcheverry T.
Kecmanovic M.
6-23-64-66-36-4
Vacherot V.[30]
Damm M.
6-46-46-4
Shelton B.[8]
Humbert U.
6-37-627-65
Basavareddy N.
Oconnell C.
4-67-676-736-26-3
Opelka R.
Budkov Kjaer N.
6-46-36-4
Sinner J.[2]
Gaston H.
6-26-10-0
Musetti L.[5]
Collignon R.
4-67-637-53-2
Shapovalov D.[21]
Yunchaokete B.
6-37-636-1
Davidovich Fokina A.[14]
Misolic F.
6-26-36-3
Hanfmann Y.
Svajda Z.
7-54-66-47-63
Hijikata R.
Mannarino A.
6-36-36-1
Munar J.
Svrcina D.
3-66-26-757-56-3
Moutet C.[32]
Schoolkate T.
6-47-616-3
Fucsovics M.
Ugo Carabelli C.
7-656-16-2
Halys Q.
Tabilo A.
6-26-27-62
Fery A.
Cobolli F.[20]
7-616-46-1
Sweeny D.
Monfils G.
6-737-56-47-5
De Minaur A.[6]
Mcdonald M.
6-26-26-3
Machac T.
Dimitrov G.
6-46-46-3
Darderi L.[22]
Garin C.
7-657-57-63
Djokovic N.[4]
Martinez P.
6-36-26-2
Khachanov K.[15]
Michelsen A.
4-66-46-35-76-3
Quinn E.
Griekspoor T.[23]
6-26-36-2
Tirante T.
Vukic A.
7-56-26-2
Faria J.
Blockx A.
6-33-66-36-4
Bublik A.[10]
Brooksby J.
6-46-46-4
Spizzirri E.
Fonseca J.[28]
6-42-66-16-2
Cilic M.
Altmaier D.
6-06-07-63
Baez S.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-46-43-65-76-3
Fritz T.[9]
Royer V.
7-655-76-16-3
Zverev A.[3]
Diallo G.
6-716-16-46-2
Medjedovic H.
Navone M.
6-26-736-46-2
Nava E.
Jacquet K.
6-27-56-754-67-66
Shevchenko A.
Ymer E.
3-67-56-46-1
Kopriva V.
Struff J.
4-66-22-66-36-1
Marozsan F.
Rinderknech A.[24]
6-36-46-726-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Nakashima B.[27]
6-34-67-617-63
Norrie C.[26]
Bonzi B.
6-06-724-66-36-4
Tsitsipas S.[31]
Mochizuki S.
4-66-36-26-2
Tiafoe F.[29]
Kubler J.
7-646-36-2
Majchrzak K.
Fearnley J.
7-627-53-67-63
Zheng M.
Korda S.
6-46-43-66-706-3
Sonego L.
Taberner C.
6-46-06-3
Muller A.
Popyrin A.
2-66-33-67-657-64
Hurkacz H.
Bergs Z.
6-767-666-36-3
Dzumhur D.
Draxl L.
7-56-06-4
Wawrinka S.
Djere L.
5-76-36-47-64
Wu Y.
Nardi L.
7-54-66-46-2
Rublev A.[13]
Arnaldi M.
6-46-26-3
Ruud C.[12]
Bellucci M.
6-16-26-4
Cerundolo F.[18]
Zhang Z.
6-37-606-3
Comesana F.
Kypson P.
6-26-33-66-3
Thompson J.
Cerundolo J.
6-737-56-16-1
Shang J.
Bautista Agut R.
6-46-726-46-0
Paul T.[19]
Kovacevic A.
6-46-36-3
Jodar R.
Sakamoto R.
7-666-15-74-66-3
Medvedev D.[11]
De Jong J.
7-56-27-62
Tien L.[25]
Giron M.
7-624-63-67-636-2