Jessica Pegula vs Sofia Kenin — US Open Round of 64

US Open · WTA · Round of 64
Jessica Pegula
USA3
Jessica Pegula
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 2 September 2026 ·
hard
Arthur Ashe Stadium · 1st on
Sofia Kenin
USAWC
Sofia Kenin
#110WTA
1694ELO
1659Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLLWLLL
Pegula J.
6-3 6-1
Kenin S.
Pegula J.
662
Kenin S.
310

Jessica Pegula defeated Sofia Kenin in the Round of 64 at the US Open, winning in straight sets 6-3, 6-1. Pegula hit 5 aces and 1 double fault, while Kenin had 2 aces and 3 double faults. Pegula converted 50% of her break points and won 4 service breaks to Kenin's 0.

Key context

Head to head

3–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-31CharlestonFclayJessica Pegula6-3 7-5
2024-08-26US OpenR64hardJessica Pegula7-6 6-3
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR32claySofia Kenin4-6 6-1 6-4
2021-01-31Yarra Valley ClassicR16hardSofia Kenin5-7 7-5 6-2
2018-09-10Quebec CitySFhardJessica Pegula4-6 6-2 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

This season
Pegula J.Kenin S.
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
43%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.3
2.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Pegula J.Kenin S.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
95
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
86
65
Break points won·Clear edge
99
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
39
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
62

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Pegula J.95%
Kenin S.5%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Pegula J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Pegula J.
8.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Kenin S.
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+399 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1659
10.0Overall Elo 2096
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1694
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
8.08 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.82 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
8.5Reached the semis here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Pegula J.Kenin S.
Freshness·Slight edge
77
88

Pegula J.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Kenin S.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 80%

Draw