Sofia Kenin vs Jessica PegulaYarra Valley Classic Round of 16

Yarra Valley Classic · WTA · Round of 16
#106WTA
1694ELO
1659Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 31 January 2021
hard
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Kenin S.
5-7 7-5 6-2
Pegula J.
Kenin S.
5762
Pegula J.
7521

Sofia Kenin defeated Jessica Pegula 5-7 7-5 6-2 in the Yarra Valley Classic round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Sofia Kenin narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-31CharlestonFclayJessica Pegula6-3 7-5
2024-08-26US OpenR64hardJessica Pegula7-6(4) 6-3
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR32claySofia Kenin4-6 6-1 6-4
2018-09-10Quebec CitySFhardJessica Pegula4-6 6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Kenin S.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Pegula J.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Kenin S.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kenin S.Pegula J.
13
Serve
68
0
Return
73

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
50%
Service points won·Even
57%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.7
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
66
96
Break points saved·Even
92
96
Break points won·Clear edge
85
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
54
100
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
73
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
93
79

Kenin S.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Pegula J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw