Jessica Pegula vs Sofia Kenin — Charleston Final

Charleston · WTA · Final
Jessica Pegula
USA1
Jessica Pegula
#3WTA
2097ELO
1941Clay ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 31 March 2025
clay
Sofia Kenin
USA
Sofia Kenin
#106WTA
1694ELO
1655Clay ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLLL
Pegula J.
6-3 7-5
Kenin S.
Pegula J.
672
Kenin S.
350

Jessica Pegula defeated Sofia Kenin 6-3 7-5 in the Charleston final on clay. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3, defending last year's semi-final. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

2–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-26US OpenR64hardJessica Pegula7-6(4) 6-3
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR32claySofia Kenin4-6 6-1 6-4
2021-01-31Yarra Valley ClassicR16hardSofia Kenin5-7 7-5 6-2
2018-09-10Quebec CitySFhardJessica Pegula4-6 6-2 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Kenin S.

Kenin S.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Pegula J.Kenin S.
67
Serve
—
22
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Pegula J.Kenin S.
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
47%
Service points won·Even
62%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
2.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 67). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Pegula J.Kenin S.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
96
66
Break points saved·Even
96
92
Break points won·Clear edge
99
85
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
54
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
73

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Pegula J.
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Kenin S.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.9+286 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.1Clay Elo 1655
9.5Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
0.5Overall Elo 1694
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
5.3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.0
Minutes 14d
8.7
0.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.1
Country comfort
6.6
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Pegula J.Kenin S.
Freshness·Clear edge
79
93

Pegula J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Kenin S.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
24°CDrizzle
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 68%

Draw

Final
Pegula J.[1]
Kenin S.
6-37-5
Semi-finals
Kenin S.
Anisimova A.[8]
5-2
Pegula J.[1]
Alexandrova E.[9]
6-22-67-5
Quarter-finals
Pegula J.[1]
Collins D.[7]
1-66-36-0
Kenin S.
Kalinskaya A.[14]
6-46-3
Alexandrova E.[9]
Zheng Q.[3]
6-16-4
Anisimova A.[8]
Navarro E.[4]
7-57-61
R16
Kenin S.
Kasatkina D.[5]
6-37-67
Kalinskaya A.[14]
Keys M.[2]
6-26-4
Navarro E.[4]
Krueger A.[15]
4-66-46-2
Anisimova A.[8]
Putintseva Y.[10]
6-46-4
Collins D.[7]
Ostapenko J.[11]
7-56-3
Pegula J.[1]
Tomljanovic A.
6-36-2
Alexandrova E.[9]
Shnaider D.[6]
6-26-1
Zheng Q.[3]
Mertens E.[13]
6-33-66-3
R32
Zheng Q.[3]
Sakkari M.
6-46-1
Krueger A.[15]
Volynets K.
6-37-64
Navarro E.[4]
Baptiste H.
6-46-3
Kasatkina D.[5]
Davis L.
6-16-1
Kenin S.
Bencic B.[17]
6-06-3
Tomljanovic A.
Stearns P.[16]
6-16-4
Collins D.[7]
Montgomery R.
6-36-1
Shnaider D.[6]
Kudermetova P.
6-36-2
Anisimova A.[8]
Kudermetova V.
6-26-2
Mertens E.[13]
Gracheva V.
6-37-5
Pegula J.[1]
Shymanovich I.
6-06-3
Ostapenko J.[11]
Chirico L.
7-56-2
Alexandrova E.[9]
Li A.
6-36-0
Putintseva Y.[10]
Zhang S.
7-656-1
Kalinskaya A.[14]
Mcnally C.
6-16-4
Keys M.[2]
Dolehide C.
6-37-64
R64
Li A.
Blinkova A.
6-46-3
Kudermetova V.
Mateas M.
6-06-2
Chirico L.
Andreeva E.
6-43-66-4
Montgomery R.
Tomova V.
6-16-3
Sakkari M.
Stakusic M.
6-36-2
Gracheva V.
Dart H.
6-13-66-1
Mcnally C.
Kalinina A.
4-66-16-4
Dolehide C.
Cocciaretto E.
6-46-1
Baptiste H.
Gadecki O.
6-26-4
Zhang S.
Bronzetti L.
7-55-76-4
Shymanovich I.
Watson H.
7-686-4
Kudermetova P.
Begu I.
6-36-4
Tomljanovic A.
Okamura K.
3-66-16-2
Volynets K.
Sebov K.
6-06-0
Davis L.
Loeb J.
3-66-16-3
Kenin S.
Pera B.
6-36-4