Emma Navarro vs Sofia KeninWashington Round of 32

Washington · WTA · Round of 32
#27WTA
1866ELO
1764Hard ELO
$922kYTD
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 2nd on
#110WTA
1694ELO
1659Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLLL
Navarro E.
6-0 7-5
Kenin S.
Navarro E.
672
Kenin S.
050

Emma Navarro defeated Sofia Kenin in the Round of 32 of the Washington tournament, winning 6-0, 7-5 on hard courts. Navarro hit 18 aces to Kenin's 3 and converted 60% of her break points, compared to Kenin's 17%. Navarro won 6 service breaks to Kenin's 2.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-09-11San DiegoSFhardSofia Kenin6-2 5-7 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
44%
Service points won·Even
59%
56%
Return points won·Even
42%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
1.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
73
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
48
65
Break points won·Slight edge
97
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
89
39
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
68
63

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Navarro E.75%
Kenin S.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Navarro E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+105 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Hard Elo 1659
7.1Overall Elo 1866
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1694
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
2.93 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.71 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.2Won 70% in Usa (83)
Country comfort
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
53
93

Navarro E.: played today · 4 matches, 93 games (7d) · Kenin S.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 46%

Draw