Emma Navarro vs Sofia Kenin — Washington Round of 32
USA8
Navarro E.Emma Navarro faces Sofia Kenin in the Washington round of 32 on hard. Emma Navarro is the paper favourite — ranked #27, a roughly 100-point hard Elo advantage — but Sofia Kenin has won their only previous meeting.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Navarro E. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: Emma Navarro has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 57 vs Sofia Kenin's 33).
- Head-to-head: Sofia Kenin leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at San Diego 2023.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09-11 | San Diego | SF | hard | Sofia Kenin | 6-2 5-7 6-4 |