Katerina Siniakova vs Sofia KeninIndian Wells Round of 128

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 128
#36WTA
1846ELO
1807Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#105WTA
1694ELO
1659Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLLL
Siniakova K.
1-6 6-4 6-1
Kenin S.
Siniakova K.
1662
Kenin S.
6411

Katerina Siniakova defeated Sofia Kenin 1-6 6-4 6-1 in the Indian Wells round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Katerina Siniakova came in ranked #36, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32. Katerina Siniakova extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2018-11-10Fed Cup WG F: CZE vs USARRhardKaterina Siniakova7-5 5-7 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Siniakova K.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Kenin S.

Kenin S.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Siniakova K.

Serve advantage — Siniakova K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Siniakova K.Kenin S.
21
Serve
13
64
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
45%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
61%
48%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.0
2.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.2
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
62
66
Break points saved·Clear edge
75
92
Break points won·Slight edge
94
85
Deciding sets·Slight edge
46
54
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
90
73

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+148 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Hard Elo 1659
6.4Overall Elo 1846
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1694
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
1.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
4.2
Country comfort
6.8
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
95
89

Siniakova K.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Kenin S.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%

Draw