Jeline Vandromme vs Oksana SelekhmetevaContrexeville Round of 16

Contrexeville · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#161WTA
1646ELO
1491Clay ELO
18 yrs
Last 10
WLWWLWWLWL
Sets
Thursday, 9 July 2026 ·
clay
#91WTA
1670ELO
1626Clay ELO
23 yrs · 172 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLWLWLLLLW
Vandromme J.
vs
Selekhmeteva O.

Jeline Vandromme faces Oksana Selekhmeteva in the Contrexeville round of 16 on clay. Oksana Selekhmeteva is the paper favourite — ranked #91, a roughly 140-point clay Elo advantage — but Jeline Vandromme arrives in form, winning 2 of their last 4 on clay to Oksana Selekhmeteva's 1.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC
Vandromme J.43%
Selekhmeteva O.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Clay Elo 1491
Surface ELO
6.7+135 Clay Elo edge
5.1Overall Elo 1646
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1670
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.76 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.04 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

33 vs 23 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
42%
Service points won·Even
58%
54%
Return points won·Even
48%
46%
Break points saved·Even
57%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.5
2.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
6.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Vandromme J.serving48% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Selekhmeteva O.

Selekhmeteva O.serving34% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Vandromme J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
91
85

Vandromme J.: 12 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Selekhmeteva O.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 54%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.