Jeline Vandromme vs Diana MartynovContrexeville Round of 32

Contrexeville · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#161WTA
1646ELO
1491Clay ELO
18 yrs
Last 10
LWWLWWLWLL
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
clay
#455WTA
1293ELO
1269Clay ELO
25 yrs
Last 10
WWLWLLLLLL
Vandromme J.
vs
Martynov D.

Jeline Vandromme faces Diana Martynov in the Contrexeville round of 32 on clay. Jeline Vandromme is the paper favourite — ranked #161, a roughly 220-point clay Elo advantage — but Diana Martynov arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 4 on clay to Jeline Vandromme's 1.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:22 UTC
Vandromme J.80%
Martynov D.20%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Vandromme J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.8+222 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Clay Elo 1269
9.4Overall Elo 1646
ELO gap
0.6Overall Elo 1293
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.26 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.23 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

33 vs 15 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
38%
Service points won·Even
58%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
41%
Break points saved·Even
57%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
3.5
Double faults / match·Even
3.0
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Vandromme J.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Martynov D.

Martynov D.serving35% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Vandromme J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
89
89

Vandromme J.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Martynov D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
32°COvercast
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 22%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.