Anna Blinkova vs Erika Andreeva — Contrexeville Round of 32

Contrexeville · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Anna Blinkova
RUS
Anna Blinkova
#114WTA
1697ELO
1603Clay ELO
27 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLWWLWW
—
Sets
Monday, 6 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
RUS
Erika Andreeva
#237WTA
1553ELO
1504Clay ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLLWWWW
Blinkova A.
vs
Andreeva E.

Anna Blinkova faces Erika Andreeva in the Contrexeville round of 32 on clay. Anna Blinkova is the paper favourite — ranked #114, a roughly 100-point clay Elo advantage — but Erika Andreeva has won both their previous meetings.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC
Blinkova A.88%
Andreeva E.12%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Blinkova A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Blinkova A.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Andreeva E.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
6.2+99 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Clay Elo 1504
5.9Overall Elo 1697
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1553
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
4.45 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.27 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Blinkova A.Stable
Andreeva E.Rising

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

22 vs 27 matches

Statistics

This season
Blinkova A.Andreeva E.
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
57%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
51%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
51%
50%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.1
1.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Blinkova A.serving35% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Andreeva E.

Andreeva E.serving48% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Blinkova A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Blinkova A.Andreeva E.
Clutch Rating·Even
66
66
Break points saved·Even
58
56
Break points won·Slight edge
94
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
69
78
Tiebreaks·Even
94
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Blinkova A.Andreeva E.
Freshness·Dominant
70
97

Blinkova A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 61 games (7d) · Andreeva E.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

3rd on CENTER COURT · not before Followed by · 2 matches still to finish ahead

  1. 1Boulard L. v Kotliar Y.
  2. 2Hesse A. v Palicova B.
  3. 3Blinkova A. v Andreeva E.This match
  4. 4Curmi F. v Dodin O.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 53%

Head to head

0–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-01-30LyonR32hardErika Andreeva6-7(3) 6-4 4-0 RET
2022-07-11LausanneR32clayErika Andreeva6-1 6-2

Draw — qualifying