Anna Blinkova vs Maria Lourdes Carle — Contrexeville Round of 16
Blinkova A.
Anna Blinkova faces Maria Lourdes Carle in the Contrexeville round of 16 on clay. Anna Blinkova holds the paper edge — ranked #114, a roughly 140-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Blinkova A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Anna Blinkova 86 games in 14 days, Maria Lourdes Carle 66.
- Under pressure: Anna Blinkova has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 66 vs Maria Lourdes Carle's 27).
- Last match: Maria Lourdes Carle dropped just 3 games past Laura Pigossi.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBlinkova A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 86 games (7d) · Carle M.: 13 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.