Francesca Jones vs Leolia Jeanjean — Contrexeville Round of 16
Jones F.
Francesca Jones faces Leolia Jeanjean in the Contrexeville round of 16 on clay. Francesca Jones holds the paper edge — ranked #106.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Jeanjean L. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Francesca Jones 20 games in 14 days, Leolia Jeanjean 115.
- Surface form: Francesca Jones 2 of 5, Leolia Jeanjean 1 of 5 on clay recently — Francesca Jones the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadJones F.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Jeanjean L.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.