Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello — Contrexeville Quarter-final
Jeanjean L.Leolia Jeanjean faces Alice Tubello in the Contrexeville quarter-final on clay. Leolia Jeanjean holds the paper edge — ranked #132, a roughly 140-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Jeanjean L. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Leolia Jeanjean 90 games in 14 days, Alice Tubello 48.
- Last match: Leolia Jeanjean dropped the opening set before beating Francesca Jones 1–6 6–4 7–5.
- Last match: Alice Tubello dropped just 6 games past Caroline Uebelhoer.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadJeanjean L.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Tubello A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
4th on CENTER COURT · not before Not before 5:30 PM · 3 matches still to finish ahead
- 1Curmi F. v Vandromme J.
- 2Herrero Linana A. v Sherif M.
- 3Blinkova A. v Zantedeschi A.
- 4Jeanjean L. v Tubello A.This match
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.