Amandine Hesse vs Mayar Sherif — Contrexeville Round of 16

Contrexeville · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
FRA
Amandine Hesse
#401WTA
1433ELO
1376Clay ELO
33 yrs · 164 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLLWWWLW
—
Sets
Wednesday, 8 July 2026 ·
clay
Mayar Sherif
EGY
Mayar Sherif
#109WTA
1685ELO
1663Clay ELO
30 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWWWLWL
Hesse A.
vs
Sherif M.

Amandine Hesse faces Mayar Sherif in the Contrexeville round of 16 on clay. Mayar Sherif holds the paper edge — ranked #109, a roughly 290-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC
Hesse A.16%
Sherif M.84%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Sherif M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Hesse A.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Sherif M.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
1.4Clay Elo 1376
Surface ELO
8.6+287 Clay Elo edge
2.1Overall Elo 1433
ELO gap
7.9Overall Elo 1685
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.22 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.58 of last 10 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Hesse A.Rising
Sherif M.Rising

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

12 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season
Hesse A.Sherif M.
1st serve in·Dominant
50%
78%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
58%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
51%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
45%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.3
0.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Hesse A.serving35% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Sherif M.

Sherif M.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Hesse A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Hesse A.Sherif M.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
10
63
Break points saved·Dominant
12
84
Break points won·Slight edge
75
81
Deciding sets·Dominant
24
51
Tiebreaks·Dominant
56
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Hesse A.Sherif M.
Freshness·Slight edge
88
99

Hesse A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Sherif M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 47%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.