Alicia Herrero Linana vs Mayar Sherif — Contrexeville Quarter-final
Herrero Linana A.
Alicia Herrero Linana faces Mayar Sherif in the Contrexeville quarter-final on clay. Mayar Sherif is the paper favourite — ranked #109, a roughly 370-point clay Elo advantage — but Alicia Herrero Linana rides a 4-match win streak.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Sherif M. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Alicia Herrero Linana 57 games in 14 days, Mayar Sherif 39.
- Win streak: Alicia Herrero Linana arrives on a 4-match winning run.
- Surface form: Alicia Herrero Linana 6 of 8, Mayar Sherif 7 of 8 on clay recently — Mayar Sherif the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadHerrero Linana A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d) · Sherif M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
2nd on CENTER COURT · not before Followed by · 1 match still to finish ahead
- 1Curmi F. v Vandromme J.
- 2Herrero Linana A. v Sherif M.This match
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.