Amandine Monnot vs Leolia Jeanjean — Contrexeville Round of 32
Monnot A.Amandine Monnot faces Leolia Jeanjean in the Contrexeville round of 32 on clay. Leolia Jeanjean is the paper favourite — ranked #132, a roughly 200-point clay Elo advantage — but Amandine Monnot arrives in form, winning 2 of their last 5 on clay to Leolia Jeanjean's 1.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:22 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Jeanjean L. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Amandine Monnot 22 games in 14 days, Leolia Jeanjean 115.
- Last match: Amandine Monnot edged Maria Sara Popa in two tight sets (7–5 7–6).
- Surface form: Amandine Monnot 2 of 5, Leolia Jeanjean 1 of 5 on clay recently — Amandine Monnot the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadMonnot A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Jeanjean L.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.