Amandine Hesse vs Barbora PalicovaContrexeville Round of 32

Contrexeville · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#401WTA
1414ELO
1366Clay ELO
33 yrs · 164 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLWWWLWL
Sets
Monday, 6 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#307WTA
1374ELO
1371Clay ELO
22 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLWWLL
Hesse A.
vs
Palicova B.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC
Hesse A.71%
Palicova B.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Hesse A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Clay Elo 1366
Surface ELO
5.1+5 Clay Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1414
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1374
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.81 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.25 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Hard → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

12 vs 21 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
50%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
46%
Service points won·Even
51%
55%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
45%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.8
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Hesse A.serving44% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Palicova B.

Palicova B.serving48% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Hesse A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Palicova B.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

2nd on CENTER COURT · not before Followed by · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 1Boulard L. v Kotliar Y.
  2. 2Hesse A. v Palicova B.This match
  3. 3Blinkova A. v Andreeva E.
  4. 4Curmi F. v Dodin O.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 53%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.